CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Isaiah Hartenstein

Oklahoma City Thunder current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Oklahoma City Thunder · current teamC-FGermanyZalgiris

AF-PLAYER59.82025–26

NBA RANK#22of 409

PH$23MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN22.9governed role

NEXT GAME@ San Antonio Spurs2026-10-20 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES397

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS7.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

46 games

MIN24.3

PTS9.3

REB9.3

AST3.5

STL1.0

BLK0.8

3PM0.0

FG%62.5%

3P%0.0%

FT%60.8%

+/-+7.7

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-20 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs45.5% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-22 · HOMEvs Denver Nuggets67.0% winProjected 112–117

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs LA Clippers68.6% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Phoenix Suns68.3% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Dallas Mavericks66.2% winProjected 115–112

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED15pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G4 PTS · 4 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G3.9 PTS · 4.4 REB · 1.1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G9.1 PTS · 8.1 REB · 3.9 AST

creation↑

efficiency↑

minutes↑

rebounding↓

scoring↓

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 397 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS59.9%1238/2067

2-POINT61.9%1213/1960

3-POINT23.4%25/107

FREE THROW67.3%456/678

EFFECTIVE FG%60.5%

TRUE SHOOTING%62.5%

AST / TO1.89

PTS PER 3612.86rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

195 HOME · 202 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	195	20.46	7.34	6.97	2.22	0.09	0.78	0.92
Away	202	21.22	7.55	7.13	2.33	0.04	0.79	0.97
Home − Away	—	-0.8	-0.2	-0.2	-0.1	+0.1	-0.0	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

397 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	2	4	2.27	high
minutes	13.8	21	28	20.85	medium
points	3	7	12	7.45	high
rebounds	3	6	11	7.06	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

397 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES5614.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

10+ ASSISTS30.8%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-08	@ LAC	20	15.52	+28.9%	10	4/5	4/5	0/0	2/2	2	5	7	1	0	1	0	5	+14.0	85%
2026-04-07	@ LAL	10	16.72	-40.2%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	1	4	5	2	1	0	1	1	-3.0	0%
2026-04-05	vs UTA	19	16.44	+15.6%	10	4/5	4/5	0/0	2/2	2	6	8	3	0	1	1	0	+19.0	85%
2026-04-02	vs LAL	20	16.43	+21.7%	7	3/4	3/4	0/0	1/2	4	2	6	2	2	2	0	0	+33.0	72%
2026-03-29	vs NYK	24	18.01	+33.2%	6	3/6	3/6	0/0	0/0	5	8	13	1	1	0	2	2	+6.0	50%
2026-03-25	@ BOS	22	15.41	+42.8%	6	3/6	3/6	0/0	0/0	0	5	5	2	3	0	0	2	-1.0	50%
2026-03-23	@ PHI	22	12.8	+71.8%	10	5/7	5/6	0/1	0/0	5	7	12	5	1	1	3	1	-5.0	71%
2026-03-21	@ WAS	25	8.92	+180.2%	9	4/7	4/7	0/0	1/4	7	13	20	10	2	0	2	2	+11.0	51%
2026-03-17	@ ORL	16	9.41	+70%	0	0/2	0/2	0/0	0/0	0	7	7	8	0	1	1	4	+2.0	0%
2026-03-15	vs MIN	21	6.15	+241.3%	0	0/3	0/3	0/0	0/0	4	8	12	3	0	2	1	3	+13.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS2.2%1/46 games

10+ REBOUNDS41.3%19/46 games

5+ ASSISTS30.4%14/46 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/46 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	OKC	46	24.3	9.3	9.3	3.5	62.5%	0.0%	60.8%
2024–25	OKC	57	27.9	11.2	10.7	3.8	58.1%	0.0%	67.5%
2023–24	NYK	75	25.3	7.8	8.3	2.5	64.4%	33.3%	70.7%
2022–23	NYK	82	19.9	5.0	6.5	1.2	53.5%	21.6%	67.6%
2021–22	LAC	68	17.9	8.3	4.9	2.4	62.6%	46.7%	68.9%
2020–21	CLE DEN	46	12.2	5.1	3.9	1.2	55.0%	33.3%	64.8%
2019–20	HOU	23	11.6	4.7	3.9	0.8	65.7%	0.0%	67.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	OKC	60	59.8	#22 / 409	23M	Core
2024–25	OKC	81	57.4	#43 / 422	24M	Core
2023–24	NYK	88	59.8	#28 / 409	25.3M	High Value
2022–23	NYK	93	40.3	#237 / 408	11M	Rotation
2021–22	LAC	71	65.2	#7 / 423	22.8M	Core
2020–21	CLE	61	54.0	#68 / 410	15.2M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#22 OF 409

AF-PLAYER59.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#22of 409 ranked

PH$23MCore

SAMPLE60observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+48.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT+4.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGESTABLE-1.1 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY55-0.1 pp next-game What If impact

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

EXPECTED MIN16.9

SCORING SHARE7.9%

CREATION SHARE12.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.