Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
D'Angelo Russell
Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER42.02025–26
NBA RANK#221of 409
PH$8.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.0
PTS10.2
REB2.4
AST4.0
STL0.5
BLK0.1
3PM1.3
FG%40.5%
3P%29.5%
FT%71.7%
+/--1.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.95pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.6 PTS · 2.2 REB · 4.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G12 PTS · 2.17 REB · 4.5 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.3%2321/5363
2-POINT50.0%1302/2604
3-POINT36.9%1019/2759
FREE THROW81.2%975/1201
EFFECTIVE FG%52.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.3%
AST / TO2.5
PTS PER 3620.82rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 197 | 29.48 | 17.11 | 3 | 5.9 | 2.63 | 0.92 | 0.37 |
| Away | 185 | 30.64 | 17.65 | 3.18 | 6.17 | 2.71 | 0.96 | 0.38 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.2 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 4 | 6 | 8 | 6.03 | medium |
| minutes | 25 | 31 | 35.4 | 30.04 | low |
| points | 9 | 17 | 25 | 17.37 | medium |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.09 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES4511.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS4812.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | @ CHI | 19 | 1.49 | +1177.7% | 8 | 4/10 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.0 | 40% |
| 2025-12-27 | @ SAC | 13 | 7.69 | +69% | 7 | 3/7 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2025-12-23 | vs DEN | 15 | 5.9 | +154.1% | 9 | 3/6 | 0/1 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.0 | 75% |
| 2025-12-20 | @ PHI | 11 | 8.05 | +36.6% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 0% |
| 2025-12-18 | vs DET | 11 | 7.12 | +54.5% | 4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9.0 | 69% |
| 2025-12-06 | vs HOU | 13 | 10.33 | +25.9% | 4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3.0 | 52% |
| 2025-12-05 | @ OKC | 16 | 9.76 | +63.9% | 12 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 | 86% |
| 2025-12-03 | vs MIA | 15 | 8.77 | +71% | 10 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 | 71% |
| 2025-12-01 | @ DEN | 18 | 6.42 | +180.3% | 8 | 3/8 | 1/2 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.0 | 50% |
| 2025-11-24 | @ MIA | 10 | — | — | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS15.4%4/26 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/26 games
5+ ASSISTS30.8%8/26 games
2+ THREES30.8%8/26 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DAL | 26 | 19.0 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 40.5% | 29.5% | 71.7% |
| 2024–25 | BKNLAL | 57 | 25.6 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 39.3% | 31.6% | 83.5% |
| 2023–24 | LAL | 76 | 32.7 | 18.0 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 45.6% | 41.5% | 82.8% |
| 2022–23 | LALMIN | 71 | 32.5 | 17.8 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 47.0% | 39.7% | 82.9% |
| 2021–22 | MIN | 65 | 31.9 | 18.1 | 3.3 | 7.1 | 41.1% | 34.0% | 82.5% |
| 2020–21 | MIN | 42 | 28.5 | 18.9 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 43.1% | 38.7% | 76.5% |
| 2019–20 | GSWMIN | 45 | 32.3 | 23.1 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 42.5% | 36.7% | 80.9% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DAL | 26 | 42.0 | #221 / 409 | 8.7M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | LAL | 57 | 43.5 | #212 / 422 | 11.8M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | LAL | 83 | 50.8 | #107 / 409 | 20.8M | Core |
| 2022–23 | LAL | 88 | 48.3 | #121 / 408 | 19.9M | Core |
| 2021–22 | MIN | 72 | 49.2 | #114 / 423 | 19.7M | Core |
| 2020–21 | MIN | 43 | 53.6 | #74 / 410 | 18M | Core |
| 2019–20 | MIN | 46 | 53.0 | #67 / 385 | 19.3M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER42.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#221of 409 ranked
PH$8.7MDepth
SAMPLE26observed games
Ball security46
Box defence23
Creation72
Efficiency28
Rebounding22
Scoring62
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT-3.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-19.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
EXPECTED MIN11.2
SCORING SHARE8.2%
CREATION SHARE15.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.