Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Caris LeVert
Milwaukee Bucks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER32.42025–26
NBA RANK#360of 409
PH$6.6MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN17.3governed role
NEXT GAME@ Washington Wizards2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN19.1
PTS7.1
REB2.0
AST2.5
STL0.9
BLK0.6
3PM1.0
FG%40.7%
3P%34.0%
FT%66.2%
+/--0.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Milwaukee Bucks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED14.64pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G2.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8 PTS · 1.8 REB · 2.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5 PTS · 1.3 REB · 1.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.7 PTS · 2.4 REB · 2.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.4%2113/4871
2-POINT48.5%1478/3048
3-POINT34.8%635/1823
FREE THROW74.2%866/1167
EFFECTIVE FG%49.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.2%
AST / TO2.37
PTS PER 3618.2rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 218 | 27.68 | 14.16 | 3.53 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.04 | 0.45 |
| Away | 189 | 28 | 13.97 | 3.76 | 3.84 | 1.62 | 1.02 | 0.47 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.3 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.5 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4.08 | high |
| minutes | 21.4 | 28 | 34.1 | 27.83 | low |
| points | 7 | 13 | 21 | 14.07 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.64 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES174.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games
10+ ASSISTS133.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | @ CHA | 15 | 16.11 | -6.9% | 6 | 2/7 | 2/6 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 38% |
| 2026-04-04 | @ PHI | 21 | 18.24 | +15.1% | 7 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 | 58% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 14 | 18.19 | -23% | 7 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -11.0 | 44% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs TOR | 19 | 17.87 | +6.3% | 12 | 5/7 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 81% |
| 2026-03-30 | @ OKC | 26 | 17.06 | +52.4% | 10 | 4/11 | 2/6 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -8.0 | 46% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIN | 20 | 17.29 | +15.7% | 8 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +13.0 | 57% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs ATL | 15 | 18.03 | -16.8% | 4 | 2/7 | 2/4 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -15.0 | 29% |
| 2026-03-23 | vs LAL | 17 | 15.99 | +6.3% | 8 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 | 51% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs GSW | 21 | 13.14 | +59.8% | 5 | 2/9 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 1/1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1.0 | 27% |
| 2026-03-19 | @ WAS | 20 | 12.53 | +59.6% | 14 | 5/8 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +16.0 | 75% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/53 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/53 games
5+ ASSISTS9.4%5/53 games
2+ THREES28.3%15/53 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DET | 53 | 19.1 | 7.1 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 40.7% | 34.0% | 66.2% |
| 2024–25 | CLEATL | 63 | 24.8 | 11.8 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 45.9% | 36.6% | 71.3% |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 68 | 28.8 | 14.0 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 42.1% | 32.5% | 76.6% |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 74 | 30.2 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 43.1% | 39.2% | 72.2% |
| 2021–22 | INDCLE | 57 | 30.6 | 17.0 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 44.3% | 31.9% | 75.4% |
| 2020–21 | INDBKN | 47 | 31.6 | 20.2 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 44.1% | 32.6% | 81.1% |
| 2019–20 | BKN | 45 | 29.6 | 18.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 42.5% | 36.4% | 71.1% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DET | 66 | 32.4 | #360 / 409 | 6.6M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | ATL | 65 | 47.9 | #152 / 422 | 15.2M | Core |
| 2023–24 | CLE | 79 | 43.5 | #194 / 409 | 14.3M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | CLE | 79 | 38.3 | #279 / 408 | 10.7M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | CLE | 60 | 44.5 | #185 / 423 | 14.3M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | IND | 47 | 51.8 | #91 / 410 | 18.3M | Core |
| 2019–20 | BKN | 49 | 47.2 | #122 / 385 | 15.9M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER32.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#360of 409 ranked
PH$6.6MDepth
SAMPLE66observed games
Ball security43
Box defence53
Creation47
Efficiency24
Rebounding14
Scoring31
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-19.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-52.1 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGESTABLE-1.4 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY19-0.6 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN14.2
SCORING SHARE5.6%
CREATION SHARE8.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.