Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Bruce Brown
Denver Nuggets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER32.42025–26
NBA RANK#359of 409
PH$7.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN14.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Oklahoma City Thunder2026-10-22WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN24.2
PTS7.7
REB3.8
AST2.1
STL1.0
BLK0.2
3PM0.7
FG%46.7%
3P%37.8%
FT%77.0%
+/--1.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Denver Nuggets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL28minutes
EXPECTED19.92pregame reference
DEVIATION+40.6%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5 PTS · 2.2 REB · 1.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G9.8 PTS · 3.4 REB · 1.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.6 PTS · 2.4 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G8.7 PTS · 3.3 REB · 1.9 AST
creation↓
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS48.2%1677/3479
2-POINT52.6%1367/2600
3-POINT35.3%310/879
FREE THROW76.9%639/831
EFFECTIVE FG%52.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.0%
AST / TO2.17
PTS PER 3613.22rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 234 | 25.38 | 9.61 | 4.43 | 2.62 | 0.76 | 0.93 | 0.47 |
| Away | 222 | 26.01 | 9.25 | 4.48 | 2.55 | 0.59 | 1.05 | 0.42 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.6 | +0.4 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.59 | high |
| minutes | 20 | 26 | 32 | 25.69 | low |
| points | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9.44 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.46 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES173.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS30.7%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ SAS | 28 | 19.92 | +40.6% | 14 | 7/8 | 7/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +12.0 | 88% |
| 2026-04-06 | vs POR | 24 | 19.18 | +25.1% | 6 | 1/6 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 4/4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.0 | 39% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SAS | 11 | 21 | -47.6% | 5 | 2/7 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -12.0 | 36% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs GSW | 25 | 20.31 | +23.1% | 15 | 6/11 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +7.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs UTA | 15 | 20.23 | -25.9% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ PHX | 23 | 19.7 | +16.8% | 9 | 4/7 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.0 | 64% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs TOR | 21 | 19.81 | +6% | 12 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +13.0 | 87% |
| 2026-03-18 | @ MEM | 20 | 19.55 | +2.3% | 1 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.0 | 10% |
| 2026-03-17 | vs PHI | 19 | 20.19 | -5.9% | 12 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +12.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ LAL | 20 | 22 | -9.1% | 12 | 4/6 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 87% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/76 games
10+ REBOUNDS1.3%1/76 games
5+ ASSISTS6.6%5/76 games
2+ THREES18.4%14/76 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DEN | 76 | 24.2 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 46.7% | 37.8% | 77.0% |
| 2024–25 | NOPTOR | 41 | 22.4 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 42.1% | 33.3% | 81.5% |
| 2023–24 | INDTOR | 66 | 27.9 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 48.0% | 32.9% | 81.9% |
| 2022–23 | DEN | 80 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 48.3% | 35.8% | 75.8% |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 72 | 24.6 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 50.6% | 40.4% | 75.8% |
| 2020–21 | BKN | 63 | 22.6 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 55.9% | 29.3% | 73.9% |
| 2019–20 | DET | 58 | 28.2 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 44.3% | 34.4% | 74.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | DEN | 82 | 32.4 | #359 / 409 | 7.8M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | NOP | 41 | 33.4 | #359 / 422 | 6.4M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | IND | 67 | 38.7 | #274 / 409 | 9.8M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | DEN | 100 | 42.1 | #213 / 408 | 14.6M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | BKN | 81 | 46.8 | #149 / 423 | 16.6M | Core |
| 2020–21 | BKN | 79 | 50.2 | #109 / 410 | 18.3M | Core |
| 2019–20 | DET | 58 | 35.8 | #285 / 385 | 8.9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER32.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#359of 409 ranked
PH$7.8MDepth
SAMPLE82observed games
Ball security41
Box defence39
Creation32
Efficiency37
Rebounding29
Scoring19
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-14.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-2.7 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-9.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY37-0.4 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DEN
Denver Nuggets
EXPECTED MIN23.5
SCORING SHARE6.3%
CREATION SHARE7.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR87.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.