CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Ty Jerome

Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Memphis Grizzlies · current teamG-FUSAVirginia

AF-PLAYER61.72024–25

NBA RANK#22of 422

PH$22.7MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES233

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

8 games

MIN23.0

PTS18.3

REB3.9

AST5.6

STL1.0

BLK0.3

3PM2.9

FG%45.5%

3P%41.8%

FT%91.3%

+/--6.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Utah Jazz63.2% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Golden State Warriors37.5% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Sacramento Kings46.2% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Utah Jazz48.7% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-29 · AWAY@ Portland Trail Blazers35.5% winProjected 112–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED10.78pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G17.33 PTS · 4.33 REB · 6.33 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G17.33 PTS · 4.33 REB · 6.33 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 233 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.4%756/1665

2-POINT52.2%460/881

3-POINT37.8%296/784

FREE THROW85.7%257/300

EFFECTIVE FG%54.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.5%

AST / TO2.96

PTS PER 3617.55rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

116 HOME · 117 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	116	18.08	8.78	2.14	2.85	1.24	0.69	0.1
Away	117	18.28	8.94	2.07	3.02	1.3	0.76	0.1
Home − Away	—	-0.2	-0.2	+0.1	-0.2	-0.1	-0.1	0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

233 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	5	2.94	high
minutes	12	19	24	18.18	medium
points	3	9	14	8.86	high
rebounds	1	2	3.6	2.1	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

233 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

8 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-23	@ ATL	24	18.16	+32.2%	17	6/15	3/8	3/7	2/2	0	1	1	4	2	1	2	3	-13.0	54%
2026-03-20	vs BOS	25	20.25	+23.4%	16	7/17	5/11	2/6	0/0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	2	+3.0	47%
2026-03-18	vs DEN	25	19.65	+27.3%	21	8/15	3/7	5/8	0/0	1	8	9	9	0	1	2	1	+5.0	70%
2026-03-03	@ MIN	24	18.71	+28.3%	14	4/13	2/7	2/6	4/4	0	4	4	2	1	0	1	1	-16.0	47%
2026-02-25	vs GSW	24	17.64	+36%	22	8/14	4/6	4/8	2/2	0	3	3	5	1	0	2	2	-17.0	74%
2026-02-21	@ MIA	22	17.64	+24.7%	17	6/16	3/8	3/8	2/2	3	3	6	4	2	0	2	2	-8.0	50%
2026-02-02	vs MIN	20	—	—	19	6/10	4/5	2/5	5/6	2	4	6	8	1	0	3	2	+4.0	75%
2026-01-31	vs MIN	20	—	—	20	6/12	4/5	2/7	6/7	0	1	1	6	1	0	2	3	-8.0	66%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS37.5%3/8 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/8 games

5+ ASSISTS62.5%5/8 games

2+ THREES100.0%8/8 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	MEM	8	23.0	18.3	3.9	5.6	45.5%	41.8%	91.3%
2024–25	CLE	67	19.9	12.4	2.5	3.4	51.3%	42.6%	87.9%
2023–24	CLE	2	7.5	2.0	0.5	1.5	50.0%	0.0%	—
2022–23	GSW	45	18.2	6.9	1.7	3.0	48.8%	38.9%	92.7%
2021–22	OKC	48	16.7	7.1	1.6	2.3	37.8%	29.0%	80.8%
2020–21	OKC	32	23.6	10.3	2.8	3.7	43.6%	41.9%	75.0%
2019–20	PHX	31	10.6	3.3	1.5	1.4	33.6%	28.0%	75.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	CLE	76	61.7	#22 / 422	22.7M	Core
2022–23	GSW	45	45.1	#173 / 408	11M	Rotation
2021–22	OKC	57	36.2	#324 / 423	7.1M	Depth
2020–21	OKC	35	44.7	#178 / 410	10.8M	Rotation
2019–20	PHX	54	30.7	#328 / 385	5.7M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#22 OF 422

AF-PLAYER61.7descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#22of 422 ranked

PH$22.7MCore

SAMPLE76observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

EXPECTED MIN18.5

SCORING SHARE16.2%

CREATION SHARE22.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR74.9%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.