Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Taj Gibson
Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER33.62024–25
NBA RANK#357of 422
PH$5.7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN10.8governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN9.2
PTS4.6
REB2.0
AST0.8
STL0.2
BLK0.0
3PM0.4
FG%72.7%
3P%66.7%
FT%83.3%
+/--1.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED7.32pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 1 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.8 PTS · 0.1 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G0 PTS · 1 REB · 0 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS55.7%479/860
2-POINT58.8%444/755
3-POINT33.3%35/105
FREE THROW74.7%171/229
EFFECTIVE FG%57.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%60.6%
AST / TO1.24
PTS PER 3610.56rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 129 | 14.85 | 4.03 | 3.88 | 0.77 | 0.06 | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| Away | 131 | 15.68 | 4.92 | 3.71 | 0.66 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.8 | -0.9 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.71 | high |
| minutes | 9 | 15.2 | 21.3 | 15.27 | medium |
| points | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4.48 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3.79 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs HOU | 9 | 7.03 | +27.9% | 8 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 4/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.0 | 106% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs SAS | 10 | 6.25 | +60% | 7 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ATL | 6 | 6.47 | -7.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ CHA | 12 | 4.32 | +177.6% | 7 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs DEN | 9 | — | — | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 57% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/5 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/5 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/5 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/5 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MEM | 5 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 72.7% | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| 2024–25 | CHA | 31 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 68.8% |
| 2023–24 | NYKDET | 18 | 11.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 40.5% | 20.0% | 100.0% |
| 2022–23 | WAS | 48 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 52.0% | 33.3% | 71.4% |
| 2021–22 | NYK | 52 | 18.2 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 51.8% | 39.5% | 80.8% |
| 2020–21 | NYK | 45 | 20.8 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 62.7% | 20.0% | 72.7% |
| 2019–20 | NYK | 61 | 16.7 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 58.6% | 30.8% | 73.2% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | CHA | 31 | 33.6 | #357 / 422 | 5.7M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | WAS | 48 | 39.6 | #256 / 408 | 7.5M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | NYK | 74 | 40.8 | #246 / 423 | 9.5M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | NYK | 63 | 54.5 | #63 / 410 | 18.1M | Core |
| 2019–20 | NYK | 64 | 47.1 | #125 / 385 | 13.9M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER33.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#357of 422 ranked
PH$5.7MDepth
SAMPLE31observed games
Ball security14
Box defence48
Creation16
Efficiency33
Rebounding77
Scoring19
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
EXPECTED MIN6.3
SCORING SHARE2.4%
CREATION SHARE2.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR60.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.