CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Steven Adams

Houston Rockets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Houston Rockets · current teamCNew ZealandPittsburgh

AF-PLAYER39.32025–26

NBA RANK#264of 409

PH$7.9MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN18.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Dallas Mavericks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.6 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES323

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS7.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS9.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

31 games

MIN22.8

PTS5.8

REB8.7

AST1.6

STL0.7

BLK0.7

3PM0.0

FG%49.6%

3P%—

FT%60.0%

+/-+5.7

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Houston Rockets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks71.9% winProjected 110–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs37.6% winProjected 110–115

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks45.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Atlanta Hawks59.6% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks58.9% winProjected 113–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED1.49pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.6 PTS · 6.8 REB · 0.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.2 PTS · 7.6 REB · 1.1 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 323 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS57.3%985/1719

2-POINT57.6%984/1709

3-POINT—1/10

FREE THROW50.5%420/832

EFFECTIVE FG%57.3%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.3%

AST / TO1.59

PTS PER 3610.93rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

157 HOME · 166 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	157	24.3	7.38	9.03	2.14	0	0.78	0.84
Away	166	24.44	7.42	9.01	2.32	0.01	0.76	0.77
Home − Away	—	-0.1	-0.0	+0.0	-0.2	-0.0	+0.0	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

323 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	2	4	2.23	high
minutes	19	25.4	30.3	24.37	medium
points	3	6	12	7.4	high
rebounds	6	9	12	9.02	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

323 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES6921.4% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

10+ ASSISTS10.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-01-18	vs NOP	27	19.54	+38.2%	5	2/3	2/3	0/0	1/2	5	5	10	2	0	0	1	1	+10.0	64%
2026-01-15	vs OKC	25	24.49	+2.1%	6	3/6	3/6	0/0	0/0	6	5	11	0	0	2	0	0	-7.0	50%
2026-01-13	vs CHI	18	21.62	-16.7%	4	2/5	2/5	0/0	0/2	3	4	7	1	2	0	0	2	+9.0	34%
2026-01-11	@ SAC	24	18.66	+28.6%	3	0/0	0/0	0/0	3/4	4	2	6	1	0	1	2	2	0.0	85%
2026-01-09	@ POR	33	17	+94.1%	5	2/2	2/2	0/0	1/4	6	3	9	3	0	1	1	2	-14.0	67%
2026-01-07	@ POR	30	15.87	+89.1%	7	3/6	3/6	0/0	1/2	6	5	11	4	2	2	2	3	+3.0	51%
2026-01-05	vs PHX	31	12.37	+150.5%	8	4/7	4/7	0/0	0/4	6	5	11	2	1	0	2	1	+7.0	46%
2025-12-27	vs CLE	22	16.95	+29.8%	9	3/6	3/6	0/0	3/6	5	3	8	1	2	0	3	0	+26.0	52%
2025-12-25	@ LAL	26	15.36	+69.3%	4	2/3	2/3	0/0	0/0	4	5	9	2	0	0	1	0	-4.0	67%
2025-12-23	@ LAC	14	15.96	-12.3%	2	1/3	1/3	0/0	0/0	1	3	4	1	0	0	1	1	-5.0	33%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/31 games

10+ REBOUNDS41.9%13/31 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/31 games

2+ THREES0.0%0/31 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	HOU	31	22.8	5.8	8.7	1.6	49.6%	—	60.0%
2024–25	HOU	55	14.3	4.0	5.9	1.2	54.3%	0.0%	46.2%
2022–23	MEM	42	27.0	8.6	11.6	2.3	59.7%	0.0%	36.4%
2021–22	MEM	76	26.3	7.0	10.0	3.4	54.7%	0.0%	54.3%
2020–21	NOP	57	27.8	7.5	8.7	1.9	60.7%	0.0%	44.4%
2019–20	OKC	62	26.8	10.9	9.3	2.3	59.2%	33.3%	58.2%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	HOU	31	39.3	#264 / 409	7.9M	Depth
2024–25	HOU	62	42.4	#227 / 422	9.9M	Depth
2022–23	MEM	42	48.8	#112 / 408	15M	Core
2021–22	MEM	85	49.0	#116 / 423	19.1M	Core
2020–21	NOP	57	49.6	#117 / 410	17.3M	Core
2019–20	OKC	69	56.5	#45 / 385	23M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#264 OF 409

AF-PLAYER39.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#264of 409 ranked

PH$7.9MDepth

SAMPLE31observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+3.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-10.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-4.9 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY26-0.6 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

HOU

Houston Rockets

EXPECTED MIN16.1

SCORING SHARE5.0%

CREATION SHARE6.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR66.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.