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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Shake Milton

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Los Angeles Lakers · last observed teamUSASouthern Methodist
AF-PLAYER39.12024–25
NBA RANK#284of 422
PH$8MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES337

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

57 games
MIN14.7
PTS5.5
REB1.8
AST1.8
STL0.4
BLK0.1
3PM0.7
FG%45.3%
3P%35.9%
FT%79.7%
+/--2.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL43minutes
EXPECTED1.39pregame reference
DEVIATION+3001.9%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G3.6 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.4 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.8 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.6 PTS · 1.2 REB · 1.1 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 337 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.3%1038/2291
2-POINT50.3%756/1504
3-POINT35.8%282/787
FREE THROW82.7%443/536
EFFECTIVE FG%51.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.4%
AST / TO2.33
PTS PER 3615.75rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

164 HOME · 173 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home16418.077.542.042.520.660.440.16
Away17319.889.052.382.4310.490.22
Home − Away—-1.8-1.5-0.3+0.1-0.3-0.1-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

337 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0242.47high
minutes1019.426.719high
points27138.31high
rebounds1242.21high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

337 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES41.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS41.2%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2025-04-13@ POR431.39+3001.9%165/154/111/45/611231132-25.045%
2025-04-11vs HOU40.72+451.8%21/21/20/00/001101000+8.050%
2025-04-08@ OKC21.78+12.5%00/00/00/00/001100000+1.0—
2025-04-04vs NOP21.58+26.3%00/00/00/00/000000000-1.0—
2025-03-22vs CHI711.56-39.5%21/31/20/10/001110000-8.033%
2025-03-20vs MIL238.68+164.9%42/62/50/10/042630026-37.033%
2025-03-19vs DEN78.37-16.4%10/40/30/11/210100001-11.010%
2025-03-17vs SAS77.31-4.2%21/11/10/00/000011000+4.0100%
2025-03-14@ DEN285.3+428.6%167/116/91/21/114531021+10.070%
2025-03-13@ MIL45.73-30.2%00/20/10/10/0011010000.00%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS5.3%3/57 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/57 games
5+ ASSISTS7.0%4/57 games
2+ THREES19.3%11/57 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2024–25BKNLAL5714.75.51.81.845.3%35.9%79.7%
2023–24NYKDETMIN4812.14.51.61.340.5%28.1%81.6%
2022–23PHI7620.68.42.53.147.9%37.8%85.3%
2021–22PHI5421.68.32.62.642.8%31.8%84.5%
2020–21PHI6223.313.12.43.145.0%34.6%83.0%
2019–20PHI4020.19.42.22.648.4%43.0%78.5%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2024–25LAL5939.1#284 / 4228MDepth
2023–24NYK5229.2#385 / 4095.6MDepth
2022–23PHI8239.9#250 / 40810.1MRotation
2021–22PHI6638.5#286 / 4239.1MDepth
2020–21PHI7641.7#230 / 41011.5MRotation
2019–20PHI6147.3#121 / 38513.9MRotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#284 OF 422
AF-PLAYER39.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#284of 422 ranked
PH$8MDepth
SAMPLE59observed games
Ball security
54
Box defence
21
Creation
55
Efficiency
43
Rebounding
22
Scoring
33

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

BKN

Brooklyn Nets

EXPECTED MIN12.6
SCORING SHARE6.2%
CREATION SHARE8.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR69.7%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

EXPECTED MIN6.6
SCORING SHARE3.2%
CREATION SHARE4.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.0%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.