PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Rayjon Tucker

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Milwaukee Bucks · last observed teamUSAArkansas-Little Rock

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES37

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS3.1

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2021–22

5 games

MIN14.2

PTS4.2

REB1.6

AST2.0

STL0.8

BLK0.0

3PM0.8

FG%66.7%

3P%80.0%

FT%71.4%

+/--0.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2021–22

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL39.15minutes

EXPECTED2.09pregame reference

DEVIATION+1777%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G3 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1.5 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 37 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS50.7%34/67

2-POINT62.5%25/40

3-POINT33.3%9/27

FREE THROW77.5%38/49

EFFECTIVE FG%57.5%

TRUE SHOOTING%64.9%

AST / TO1.67

PTS PER 3614.17rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

17 HOME · 20 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	17	7.95	3.35	0.94	0.59	0.12	0.06	0.06
Away	20	7.85	2.9	1.1	0.5	0.35	0.25	0
Home − Away	—	+0.1	+0.5	-0.2	+0.1	-0.2	-0.2	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

37 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	0	1	0.54	high
minutes	2.5	3.8	11.3	7.9	high
points	0	2	4.8	3.11	high
rebounds	0	1	2	1.03	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

37 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2021–22

One log, the window you choose

5 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2022-04-10	@ CLE	39.1	2.09	+1777%	15	5/7	2/4	3/3	2/3	2	2	4	4	2	1	2	-10.0	90%
2022-04-08	@ DET	2.4	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	+5.0	—
2022-01-05	vs UTA	3.5	11.44	-69.4%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	+5.0	0%
2022-01-03	@ DAL	3.8	18.14	-79.2%	3	0/0	0/0	0/0	3/4	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-4.0	85%
2022-01-01	@ HOU	22	—	—	3	1/1	0/0	1/1	0/0	1	2	3	0	0	0	1	+2.0	150%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2021–22

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/5 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/5 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/5 games

2+ THREES20.0%1/5 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2021–22	MIL DEN	5	14.2	4.2	1.6	2.0	66.7%	80.0%	71.4%
2020–21	PHI	13	4.6	2.5	0.8	0.4	53.3%	40.0%	73.7%
2019–20	UTA	19	8.5	3.3	1.1	0.3	46.5%	17.6%	82.6%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2021–22

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 21 games of this player in 2021–22 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2021–22

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

EXPECTED MIN6.3

SCORING SHARE3.2%

CREATION SHARE5.7%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR62.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

DEN

Denver Nuggets

EXPECTED MIN5.5

SCORING SHARE2.1%

CREATION SHARE4.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR51.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.