Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Matt Ryan
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER38.02023–24
NBA RANK#287of 409
PH$6.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN3.6
PTS1.4
REB0.4
AST0.1
STL0.1
BLK0.0
3PM0.3
FG%32.1%
3P%29.4%
FT%100.0%
+/--2.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED—pregame reference
DEVIATION—expected minutes unavailable
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.0%99/254
2-POINT35.1%20/57
3-POINT40.1%79/197
FREE THROW89.3%25/28
EFFECTIVE FG%54.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.7%
AST / TO1.21
PTS PER 3614.1rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45 | 10.2 | 4 | 0.93 | 0.44 | 1.07 | 0.2 | 0.04 |
| Away | 35 | 8.92 | 3.49 | 0.89 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.14 | 0 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.3 | +0.5 | +0.0 | +0.0 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 6 | 17.2 | 9.64 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3.77 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.91 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | @ IND | 2 | 0.49 | +310.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-01 | vs LAL | 2 | 0.89 | +123.8% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0% |
| 2025-01-27 | vs MEM | 2 | 0.64 | +214.1% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 0% |
| 2025-01-25 | vs SAC | 2 | 0.32 | +523.4% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | — |
| 2025-01-12 | vs MIL | 3 | 1.05 | +184.5% | 8 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 139% |
| 2025-01-10 | vs OKC | 2 | 0.74 | +169.7% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| 2025-01-08 | vs TOR | 2 | 0.54 | +268.9% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 | — |
| 2025-01-04 | @ CHI | 2 | 0.4 | +403% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2024-12-30 | @ WAS | 1 | 0.28 | +263.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | — |
| 2024-12-19 | @ MIN | 4 | — | — | 4 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 40% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/18 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/18 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/18 games
2+ THREES11.1%2/18 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023–24 | NOP | 29 | 38.0 | #287 / 409 | 6.9M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | MIN | 34 | 32.2 | #355 / 408 | 5.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2023–24
AF-PLAYER38.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#287of 409 ranked
PH$6.9MDepth
SAMPLE29observed games
Ball security43
Box defence17
Creation16
Efficiency66
Rebounding18
Scoring35
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NYK
New York Knicks
EXPECTED MIN1.6
SCORING SHARE1.2%
CREATION SHARE0.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR42.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.