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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Malcolm Brogdon

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Washington Wizards · last observed teamUSAVirginia
AF-PLAYER47.82024–25
NBA RANK#158of 422
PH$11.4MRotation · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES273

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS17.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS5.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

24 games
MIN23.5
PTS12.7
REB3.8
AST4.1
STL0.5
BLK0.2
3PM0.7
FG%43.3%
3P%28.6%
FT%88.0%
+/--5.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.57pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G12.4 PTS · 2.8 REB · 3.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT9 G12.89 PTS · 2.56 REB · 3.78 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 273 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS45.1%1667/3697
2-POINT49.3%1166/2367
3-POINT37.7%501/1330
FREE THROW86.5%794/918
EFFECTIVE FG%51.9%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.4%
AST / TO2.84
PTS PER 3620.39rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

137 HOME · 136 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home13730.4416.644.65.411.680.770.26
Away13629.4217.284.575.321.990.680.25
Home − Away—+1.0-0.6+0.0+0.1-0.3+0.1+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

273 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists3585.37high
minutes233136.229.93low
points11172416.96medium
rebounds2464.58high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

273 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES269.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games
10+ ASSISTS207.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2025-02-12vs IND1514.2+5.6%125/95/90/02/200060010+3.061%
2025-02-10vs SAS1913.68+38.9%115/105/90/11/114551011+9.053%
2025-02-08vs ATL2310.05+128.7%70/60/20/47/703341020-11.039%
2025-02-05@ BKN177.76+119.2%73/62/51/10/010111010+6.058%
2025-02-03@ CHA224.29+412.9%164/94/70/28/1013470021+12.060%
2025-02-01@ MIN21——31/61/60/01/214540002-5.022%
2025-01-05vs NOP1525.46-41.1%42/72/50/20/003350010-12.029%
2025-01-03@ NOP2524.74+1.1%164/104/90/18/812330010+1.059%
2025-01-01vs CHI28——125/125/110/12/213460111+12.047%
2024-12-30vs NYK29——185/114/71/47/724672021-15.064%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS12.5%3/24 games
10+ REBOUNDS8.3%2/24 games
5+ ASSISTS50.0%12/24 games
2+ THREES16.7%4/24 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2024–25WAS2423.512.73.84.143.3%28.6%88.0%
2023–24POR3829.416.03.95.643.8%41.1%81.9%
2022–23BOS6726.114.94.23.748.4%44.4%87.0%
2021–22IND3633.519.15.15.944.8%31.2%85.6%
2020–21IND5634.521.25.35.945.4%38.8%86.4%
2019–20IND5230.916.24.97.043.1%31.4%89.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2024–25WAS2447.8#158 / 42211.4MRotation
2023–24POR3851.5#96 / 40916.4MCore
2022–23BOS8651.0#90 / 40820MCore
2021–22IND3852.4#83 / 42317.8MCore
2020–21IND5853.8#71 / 41021.8MCore
2019–20IND5648.6#110 / 38518MCore

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#158 OF 422
AF-PLAYER47.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#158of 422 ranked
PH$11.4MRotation
SAMPLE24observed games
Ball security
62
Box defence
25
Creation
68
Efficiency
38
Rebounding
33
Scoring
62

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

WAS

Washington Wizards

EXPECTED MIN12.9
SCORING SHARE11.2%
CREATION SHARE15.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR56.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.