Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Lindy Waters III
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER30.92025–26
NBA RANK#370of 409
PH$5.4MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN7.0
PTS2.3
REB0.7
AST0.5
STL0.1
BLK0.0
3PM0.6
FG%36.9%
3P%33.3%
FT%50.0%
+/--0.7
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED2.29pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0.6 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G1.4 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.7 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G1.5 PTS · 0.8 REB · 0.5 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.7%304/766
2-POINT56.4%75/133
3-POINT36.2%229/633
FREE THROW77.5%31/40
EFFECTIVE FG%54.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%55.4%
AST / TO2.58
PTS PER 3613.79rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 94 | 11.62 | 4.7 | 1.57 | 0.67 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| Away | 96 | 12.22 | 4.44 | 1.73 | 0.82 | 1.18 | 0.36 | 0.12 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.6 | +0.3 | -0.2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.75 | high |
| minutes | 4 | 10.3 | 19.1 | 11.93 | high |
| points | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4.57 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.65 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | vs PHI | 5 | 3.06 | +63.3% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 | 75% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ MIL | 7 | 8.78 | -20.3% | 1 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | 13% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ MEM | 9 | 7.46 | +20.7% | 3 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 1/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ MIA | 3 | 6.99 | -57.1% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | — |
| 2026-03-21 | vs IND | 17 | 4.67 | +263.7% | 6 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 | 100% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ SAC | 23 | 1.69 | +1258.5% | 11 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +18.0 | 69% |
| 2026-03-08 | vs HOU | 4 | 4.84 | -17.3% | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 | 150% |
| 2026-03-06 | vs LAC | 4 | 4.22 | -5.3% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2026-03-05 | vs DET | 1 | 4.16 | -76% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2026-03-03 | @ PHI | 12 | 2.18 | +451% | 8 | 3/8 | 1/1 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/39 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/39 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/39 games
2+ THREES15.4%6/39 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAS | 48 | 30.9 | #370 / 409 | 5.4M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | GSW | 49 | 29.1 | #399 / 422 | 5.6M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | OKC | 43 | 39.4 | #259 / 408 | 7.6M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | OKC | 28 | 43.3 | #205 / 423 | 9.7M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER30.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#370of 409 ranked
PH$5.4MDepth
SAMPLE48observed games
Ball security80
Box defence16
Creation41
Efficiency29
Rebounding14
Scoring24
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAS
San Antonio Spurs
EXPECTED MIN3.7
SCORING SHARE1.8%
CREATION SHARE1.7%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR53.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.