CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Kevin Porter Jr.

Milwaukee Bucks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Milwaukee Bucks · current teamG-FUSASouthern California

AF-PLAYER50.82025–26

NBA RANK#98of 409

PH$16.5MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ Washington Wizards2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES304

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS14.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS5.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

36 games

MIN33.0

PTS17.1

REB5.1

AST7.4

STL2.1

BLK0.5

3PM1.2

FG%46.0%

3P%32.8%

FT%88.9%

+/--3.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Milwaukee Bucks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Washington Wizards45.0% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls57.9% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Philadelphia 76ers33.3% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Indiana Pacers49.6% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Houston Rockets41.1% winProjected 113–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED5.82pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.8 PTS · 4.8 REB · 6.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G14.4 PTS · 5 REB · 7.3 AST

creation→

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 304 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.7%1574/3600

2-POINT49.5%1076/2176

3-POINT35.0%498/1424

FREE THROW75.7%729/963

EFFECTIVE FG%50.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.4%

AST / TO1.87

PTS PER 3618.43rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

160 HOME · 144 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	160	28.51	14.99	4.36	5.12	1.79	1.21	0.32
Away	144	27.67	13.73	4.17	4.75	1.47	1.26	0.28
Home − Away	—	+0.8	+1.3	+0.2	+0.4	+0.3	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

304 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	7.4	4.95	high
minutes	19	29.8	36	28.11	medium
points	7.6	13	21	14.39	high
rebounds	2	4	6	4.27	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

304 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES3511.5% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES51.6% of games

10+ ASSISTS299.5%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-17	vs CLE	33	14.61	+125.9%	25	8/15	7/11	1/4	8/8	1	2	3	10	0	2	1	3	-9.0	68%
2026-03-14	@ ATL	30	11.14	+169.4%	18	7/13	7/11	0/2	4/4	1	6	7	7	2	1	3	4	-19.0	61%
2026-03-12	@ MIA	28	10.58	+164.7%	6	3/8	3/7	0/1	0/0	1	6	7	5	3	0	3	4	-12.0	38%
2026-03-02	vs BOS	31	32.58	-4.8%	8	3/6	2/5	1/1	1/2	0	4	4	2	3	0	3	3	-8.0	58%
2026-03-01	@ CHI	32	31.45	+1.7%	10	4/16	4/15	0/1	2/2	1	5	6	4	1	0	1	2	-23.0	30%
2026-02-27	vs NYK	27	31.08	-13.1%	11	4/12	3/10	1/2	2/2	1	5	6	10	1	1	3	4	-16.0	43%
2026-02-25	vs CLE	38	29.81	+27.5%	20	10/16	10/14	0/2	0/0	1	7	8	5	5	1	3	2	+7.0	63%
2026-02-24	vs MIA	37	28.44	+30.1%	32	11/20	9/16	2/4	8/8	3	4	7	7	2	1	1	2	+10.0	68%
2026-02-22	vs TOR	31	26.63	+16.4%	21	8/11	7/10	1/1	4/6	1	1	2	10	3	0	1	2	-16.0	77%
2026-02-20	@ NOP	32	21.49	+48.9%	25	10/15	10/14	0/1	5/6	0	2	2	7	2	1	1	2	+12.0	71%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS38.9%14/36 games

10+ REBOUNDS8.3%3/36 games

5+ ASSISTS88.9%32/36 games

2+ THREES25.0%9/36 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	MIL	36	33.0	17.1	5.1	7.4	46.0%	32.8%	88.9%
2024–25	MIL LAC	74	19.8	10.3	3.7	3.4	44.7%	31.3%	76.9%
2022–23	HOU	59	34.3	19.1	5.3	5.7	44.2%	36.6%	78.4%
2021–22	HOU	61	31.3	15.6	4.4	6.2	41.5%	37.5%	64.3%
2020–21	HOU	26	32.1	16.6	3.8	6.3	42.5%	31.1%	73.4%
2019–20	CLE	48	23.4	10.2	3.3	2.2	44.1%	34.2%	71.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	MIL	36	50.8	#98 / 409	16.5M	Core
2024–25	MIL	79	43.8	#208 / 422	12.4M	Rotation
2022–23	HOU	59	48.0	#126 / 408	17M	Core
2021–22	HOU	62	45.4	#169 / 423	15.4M	Core
2020–21	HOU	26	43.5	#199 / 410	10.3M	Rotation
2019–20	CLE	48	35.1	#291 / 385	7.6M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#98 OF 409

AF-PLAYER50.8descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#98of 409 ranked

PH$16.5MCore

SAMPLE36observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT+25.4 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-33.0 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

EXPECTED MIN20.3

SCORING SHARE13.9%

CREATION SHARE25.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.