CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Josh Okogie

Utah Jazz current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Utah Jazz · current teamGNigeriaGeorgia Tech

AF-PLAYER31.62025–26

NBA RANK#365of 409

PH$7MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN10.7governed role

NEXT GAME@ Memphis Grizzlies2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES412

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS5.8

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

75 games

MIN17.6

PTS4.6

REB2.6

AST0.9

STL0.8

BLK0.2

3PM0.8

FG%43.2%

3P%38.5%

FT%59.4%

+/-+0.7

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Utah Jazz

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Memphis Grizzlies36.8% winProjected 113–117

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs New Orleans Pelicans52.6% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-25 · HOMEvs Los Angeles Lakers37.6% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Memphis Grizzlies51.3% winProjected 115–116

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs San Antonio Spurs33.3% winProjected 116–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED13.3pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2.8 PTS · 3.4 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.8 PTS · 1.8 REB · 1.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G2.6 PTS · 1.9 REB · 1.1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G4.4 PTS · 2.5 REB · 1.1 AST

creation↑

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 412 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS41.7%767/1840

2-POINT49.5%502/1014

3-POINT32.1%265/826

FREE THROW73.8%570/772

EFFECTIVE FG%48.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.3%

AST / TO1.41

PTS PER 3611.48rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

206 HOME · 206 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	206	18.1	5.86	2.94	1.1	0.67	0.94	0.43
Away	206	17.96	5.64	2.84	1.08	0.62	0.8	0.33
Home − Away	—	+0.1	+0.2	+0.1	+0.0	+0.1	+0.1	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

412 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.09	high
minutes	9.1	18.4	26	18.03	high
points	1	5	10	5.75	high
rebounds	1	2	5	2.89	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

412 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES41.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	vs MIN	27	10.24	+163.6%	2	0/3	0/0	0/3	2/2	0	1	1	2	0	2	0	2	+1.0	26%
2026-04-09	vs PHI	21	7.35	+185.9%	9	4/8	3/6	1/2	0/0	6	5	11	2	1	0	1	2	+4.0	56%
2026-04-07	@ PHX	12	5.74	+109%	1	0/3	0/1	0/2	1/2	2	1	3	2	0	0	0	1	-5.0	13%
2026-04-05	@ GSW	12	4.66	+157.4%	2	0/0	0/0	0/0	2/2	0	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	-7.0	114%
2026-04-03	vs UTA	10	4.66	+114.7%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	+20.0	100%
2026-04-01	vs MIL	13	4.65	+179.6%	8	3/4	2/2	1/2	1/2	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	+4.0	82%
2026-03-31	vs NYK	7	4.78	+46.4%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	—
2026-03-29	@ NOP	5	6.54	-23.6%	2	1/3	1/2	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	1	+4.0	33%
2026-03-25	@ MIN	1	9.97	-90%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-3.0	—
2026-03-23	@ CHI	3	11.7	-74.4%	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	-1.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/75 games

10+ REBOUNDS2.7%2/75 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/75 games

2+ THREES21.3%16/75 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	HOU	75	17.6	4.6	2.6	0.9	43.2%	38.5%	59.4%
2024–25	PHX CHA	35	15.4	6.7	2.9	0.7	45.8%	37.1%	74.6%
2023–24	PHX	60	16.1	4.6	2.5	1.1	41.8%	30.9%	74.5%
2022–23	PHX	72	18.7	7.3	3.5	1.4	39.1%	33.5%	72.4%
2021–22	MIN	49	10.5	2.7	1.4	0.5	40.4%	29.8%	68.6%
2020–21	MIN	59	20.3	5.4	2.6	1.1	40.2%	26.9%	76.8%
2019–20	MIN	62	24.9	8.6	4.3	1.6	42.7%	26.6%	79.6%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	HOU	81	31.6	#365 / 409	7M	Depth
2024–25	PHX	35	44.4	#200 / 422	9.7M	Depth
2023–24	PHX	64	37.5	#294 / 409	7.7M	Depth
2022–23	PHX	82	37.7	#285 / 408	8.7M	Depth
2021–22	MIN	78	29.1	#391 / 423	5.6M	Depth
2020–21	MIN	62	30.8	#361 / 410	6.6M	Depth
2019–20	MIN	62	36.4	#276 / 385	8.9M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#365 OF 409

AF-PLAYER31.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#365of 409 ranked

PH$7MDepth

SAMPLE81observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-7.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-42.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-6.8 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY22-0.8 pp next-game What If impact

DECLINING

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

HOU

Houston Rockets

EXPECTED MIN16.6

SCORING SHARE4.2%

CREATION SHARE3.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.7%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.