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CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Jock Landale

Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Atlanta Hawks · current teamC
AF-PLAYER50.22025–26
NBA RANK#109of 409
PH$17.6MCore · fictional game currency
STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role
NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES287

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS6.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

67 games
MIN22.3
PTS10.4
REB5.7
AST1.7
STL0.5
BLK0.5
3PM1.1
FG%50.8%
3P%38.2%
FT%62.3%
+/--1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster
2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic50.6% winProjected 112–114
2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets42.8% winProjected 112–115
2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Houston Rockets55.0% winProjected 112–114
2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets40.4% winProjected 112–115
2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Miami Heat61.2% winProjected 114–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

LOADING

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED5.84pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.2 PTS · 2.6 REB · 2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.9 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1.8 AST

HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 287 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS51.4%737/1435
2-POINT59.1%594/1006
3-POINT33.3%143/429
FREE THROW71.9%268/373
EFFECTIVE FG%56.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.9%
AST / TO1.63
PTS PER 3615.71rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

151 HOME · 136 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home15114.946.653.951.140.480.340.42
Away13615.166.483.741.150.510.320.44
Home − Away—-0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0+0.0-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

287 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0121.15high
minutes71522.815.05high
points26116.57high
rebounds1363.85high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

287 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES155.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2026-04-01@ ORL1516.52-9.2%83/42/21/21/201110013+10.082%
2026-03-28vs SAC3416.82+102.1%197/115/82/33/5671340214+25.072%
2026-03-25@ DET2817.53+59.7%52/51/11/40/0281020012+1.050%
2026-03-23vs MEM211.14-100%115/104/61/40/013420221+14.055%
2026-03-21vs GSW1916.14+17.7%73/72/31/40/001113012-7.050%
2026-03-20@ HOU2015.55+28.6%63/93/70/20/001132203-18.033%
2026-03-18@ DAL1915.41+23.3%52/31/11/20/001150002+12.083%
2026-03-16vs ORL1116.29-32.5%83/42/31/11/210120004+8.082%
2026-03-14vs MIL17——105/75/70/00/242610000+9.064%
2026-03-12vs BKN13——42/52/40/10/202200012+3.034%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS7.5%5/67 games
10+ REBOUNDS14.9%10/67 games
5+ ASSISTS3.0%2/67 games
2+ THREES28.4%19/67 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2025–26MEMATL6722.310.45.71.750.8%38.2%62.3%
2024–25HOU4112.04.73.30.952.3%40.0%67.5%
2023–24HOU5613.64.93.11.251.5%25.0%80.0%
2022–23PHX6914.26.64.11.052.8%25.0%75.2%
2021–22SAS5410.94.92.60.849.5%32.6%82.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2025–26MEM6750.2#109 / 40917.6MCore
2024–25HOU4246.6#172 / 42210.6MRotation
2023–24HOU5647.4#146 / 40912.7MRotation
2022–23PHX7648.4#120 / 40814.4MRotation
2021–22SAS7048.5#122 / 42313.4MRotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#109 OF 409
AF-PLAYER50.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#109of 409 ranked
PH$17.6MCore
SAMPLE67observed games
Ball security
68
Box defence
31
Creation
32
Efficiency
55
Rebounding
72
Scoring
45

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT+14.2 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-22.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

EXPECTED MIN19.2
SCORING SHARE9.7%
CREATION SHARE5.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR78.6%

-1.28 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 20 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN14.5
SCORING SHARE7.9%
CREATION SHARE6.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR71.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.