PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Jaylen Nowell

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

New Orleans Pelicans · last observed teamUSAWashington

AF-PLAYER38.32022–23

NBA RANK#278of 408

PH$8.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES205

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.8

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

8 games

MIN21.0

PTS8.4

REB2.5

AST2.3

STL0.1

BLK0.5

3PM1.0

FG%35.6%

3P%29.6%

FT%63.6%

+/--5.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED—pregame reference

DEVIATION—expected minutes unavailable

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G4 PTS · 0 REB · 4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G4 PTS · 0 REB · 4 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 205 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS44.2%697/1576

2-POINT52.5%500/953

3-POINT31.6%197/623

FREE THROW79.1%224/283

EFFECTIVE FG%50.5%

TRUE SHOOTING%53.4%

AST / TO2.58

PTS PER 3618.58rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

102 HOME · 103 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	102	17.54	8.88	2.19	2.06	1.03	0.42	0.1
Away	103	16.76	8.83	2.16	1.64	0.89	0.54	0.23
Home − Away	—	+0.8	+0.1	+0.0	+0.4	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

205 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	2	3	1.85	high
minutes	10	17.7	24	17.15	medium
points	3	9	14	8.85	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.17	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

205 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

8 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2024-11-19	@ DAL	21	21.1	-0.5%	4	2/9	2/6	0/3	0/0	0	0	0	4	0	2	3	5	-31.0	22%
2024-11-16	vs LAL	35	15.51	+125.6%	16	6/18	4/11	2/7	2/2	1	5	6	3	0	1	1	0	-7.0	42%
2024-11-15	vs DEN	24	14.66	+63.7%	7	2/7	0/5	2/2	1/2	2	3	5	2	0	0	0	0	+10.0	44%
2024-11-13	@ OKC	26	11.08	+134.7%	8	4/11	4/6	0/5	0/2	2	4	6	1	0	1	1	1	-10.0	34%
2024-11-11	vs BKN	22	9.48	+131.9%	11	4/7	3/5	1/2	2/2	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	1	0.0	70%
2024-11-08	@ ORL	13	8.57	+51.7%	10	4/9	3/5	1/4	1/1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	-11.0	53%
2024-11-04	vs POR	23	3.39	+579.4%	11	4/12	2/8	2/4	1/2	1	1	2	1	1	0	1	2	+3.0	43%
2024-11-03	vs ATL	4	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	+4.0	—

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/8 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/8 games

5+ ASSISTS12.5%1/8 games

2+ THREES37.5%3/8 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2024–25	NOP	8	21.0	8.4	2.5	2.3	35.6%	29.6%	63.6%
2023–24	MEM DET	13	16.3	6.2	1.9	1.5	43.6%	20.7%	77.8%
2022–23	MIN	65	19.3	10.8	2.6	2.0	44.9%	29.0%	77.8%
2021–22	MIN	62	15.7	8.5	2.0	2.1	47.5%	39.4%	78.3%
2020–21	MIN	42	18.1	9.0	2.3	1.5	42.4%	33.3%	81.8%
2019–20	MIN	15	10.1	3.8	0.9	1.3	35.9%	11.5%	94.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2022–23	MIN	71	38.3	#278 / 408	8.6M	Depth
2021–22	MIN	86	52.4	#84 / 423	16.9M	Core
2020–21	MIN	60	39.4	#274 / 410	7.7M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2022–23

#278 OF 408

AF-PLAYER38.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#278of 408 ranked

PH$8.6MDepth

SAMPLE71observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

NOP

New Orleans Pelicans

EXPECTED MIN10.2

SCORING SHARE7.7%

CREATION SHARE7.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.6%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.