Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Jared Butler
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER48.82024–25
NBA RANK#141of 422
PH$12.2MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN13.3
PTS7.2
REB1.6
AST3.1
STL0.5
BLK0.2
3PM0.6
FG%45.8%
3P%33.3%
FT%79.0%
+/--1.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED22.43pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.2 PTS · 1.3 REB · 1.9 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.5%294/646
2-POINT54.0%208/385
3-POINT33.0%86/261
FREE THROW79.8%91/114
EFFECTIVE FG%52.2%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.9%
AST / TO2.48
PTS PER 3617.38rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 73 | 11.98 | 5.79 | 1.16 | 2.56 | 0.7 | 0.56 | 0.14 |
| Away | 59 | 12.04 | 5.8 | 1.58 | 2.46 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 0.24 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.1 | -0.0 | -0.4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.52 | high |
| minutes | 3.1 | 9.6 | 20 | 12.01 | high |
| points | 0 | 5 | 8.8 | 5.8 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.35 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS32.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | @ ATL | 22 | 21.3 | +3.3% | 8 | 3/11 | 3/8 | 0/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 34% |
| 2025-03-12 | @ TOR | 35 | 15.74 | +122.4% | 9 | 3/9 | 1/3 | 2/6 | 1/2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -16.0 | 46% |
| 2025-03-10 | @ ATL | 24 | 12.69 | +89.1% | 11 | 4/9 | 1/3 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -21.0 | 61% |
| 2025-03-09 | vs UTA | 29 | 8.7 | +233.3% | 15 | 5/8 | 2/2 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +16.0 | 85% |
| 2025-03-06 | @ BOS | 11 | 9.09 | +21% | 5 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.0 | 50% |
| 2025-03-04 | @ MIN | 25 | 5.49 | +355.3% | 11 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.0 | 63% |
| 2025-03-03 | vs POR | 5 | 5.37 | -6.8% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-24 | vs CHI | 14 | 10.14 | +38.1% | 7 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 | 70% |
| 2025-02-20 | vs BOS | 3 | — | — | 0 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-02-12 | @ BKN | 25 | — | — | 8 | 2/9 | 2/5 | 0/4 | 4/5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -5.0 | 36% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.3%1/44 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/44 games
5+ ASSISTS27.3%12/44 games
2+ THREES13.6%6/44 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | WAS | 44 | 48.8 | #141 / 422 | 12.2M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | WAS | 40 | 46.8 | #153 / 409 | 11.7M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 76 | 37.6 | #303 / 423 | 6.8M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER48.8descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#141of 422 ranked
PH$12.2MRotation
SAMPLE44observed games
Ball security42
Box defence33
Creation85
Efficiency38
Rebounding22
Scoring65
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
EXPECTED MIN11.1
SCORING SHARE7.1%
CREATION SHARE14.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR67.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
WAS
Washington Wizards
EXPECTED MIN7.0
SCORING SHARE7.0%
CREATION SHARE10.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.