Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Garrison Mathews
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER43.42024–25
NBA RANK#214of 422
PH$10.1MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN15.3
PTS5.8
REB1.3
AST0.8
STL0.4
BLK0.3
3PM1.3
FG%39.6%
3P%34.9%
FT%81.0%
+/-+0.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.33pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G4.5 PTS · 1.25 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G4.5 PTS · 1.25 REB · 1 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.5%602/1486
2-POINT54.3%120/221
3-POINT38.1%482/1265
FREE THROW83.7%421/503
EFFECTIVE FG%56.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%61.7%
AST / TO1.78
PTS PER 3613.38rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 160 | 17.89 | 7.26 | 1.76 | 0.64 | 1.64 | 0.53 | 0.21 |
| Away | 166 | 16.91 | 5.7 | 1.72 | 0.79 | 1.33 | 0.5 | 0.17 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.0 | +1.6 | +0.0 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.71 | high |
| minutes | 10 | 17 | 25 | 17.39 | medium |
| points | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6.46 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.74 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | @ NOP | 11 | 16.11 | -31.7% | 7 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 | 122% |
| 2025-12-18 | vs NYK | 8 | 17.53 | -54.4% | 4 | 2/4 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.0 | 50% |
| 2025-12-14 | vs WAS | 19 | 17.89 | +6.2% | 8 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7.0 | 68% |
| 2025-12-12 | @ PHI | 23 | 15.42 | +49.1% | 8 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 2/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +13.0 | 58% |
| 2025-12-08 | vs SAC | 17 | 15.67 | +8.5% | 7 | 2/7 | 0/1 | 2/6 | 1/1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 | 47% |
| 2025-12-05 | @ CHI | 15 | 13.86 | +8.2% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -10.0 | 38% |
| 2025-12-03 | vs DEN | 20 | 11.6 | +72.3% | 9 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.0 | 92% |
| 2025-12-01 | vs CLE | 25 | 9.03 | +176.9% | 15 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 6/9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.0 | 108% |
| 2025-11-29 | vs CHI | 8 | 9.22 | -13.2% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 | 0% |
| 2025-11-28 | vs WAS | 22 | 5.22 | +321.2% | 9 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 2/7 | 3/3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +9.0 | 54% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/12 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/12 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/12 games
2+ THREES50.0%6/12 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | IND | 12 | 15.3 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 39.6% | 34.9% | 81.0% |
| 2024–25 | ATL | 47 | 17.7 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 39.7% | 38.8% | 82.0% |
| 2023–24 | ATL | 66 | 15.0 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 45.6% | 44.0% | 81.0% |
| 2022–23 | HOUATL | 54 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 36.3% | 35.0% | 90.6% |
| 2021–22 | HOU | 65 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 39.9% | 36.0% | 79.4% |
| 2020–21 | WAS | 64 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 40.9% | 38.4% | 88.4% |
| 2019–20 | WAS | 18 | 12.6 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 42.9% | 41.3% | 91.2% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | ATL | 47 | 43.4 | #214 / 422 | 10.1M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | ATL | 67 | 41.7 | #225 / 409 | 9.9M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | ATL | 54 | 33.8 | #333 / 408 | 6.2M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | HOU | 65 | 40.7 | #249 / 423 | 11.2M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | WAS | 76 | 41.7 | #231 / 410 | 10M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER43.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#214of 422 ranked
PH$10.1MRotation
SAMPLE47observed games
Ball security62
Box defence33
Creation31
Efficiency64
Rebounding13
Scoring40
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
IND
Indiana Pacers
EXPECTED MIN8.7
SCORING SHARE4.6%
CREATION SHARE3.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.