Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Alec Burks
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER44.12024–25
NBA RANK#203of 422
PH$10.6MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2024–25
MIN17.6
PTS7.0
REB2.6
AST1.1
STL0.6
BLK0.1
3PM1.7
FG%42.2%
3P%42.4%
FT%77.5%
+/-+1.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED19.5pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8.6 PTS · 2.2 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.6 PTS · 1.6 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT7 G4.57 PTS · 1.29 REB · 1.43 AST
creation↓
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.7%1329/3268
2-POINT41.4%653/1579
3-POINT40.0%676/1689
FREE THROW84.6%889/1051
EFFECTIVE FG%51.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%56.6%
AST / TO2.19
PTS PER 3617.94rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 179 | 23.12 | 11.16 | 3.49 | 2.11 | 1.85 | 0.7 | 0.17 |
| Away | 180 | 24.08 | 12.37 | 3.94 | 2.28 | 1.92 | 0.79 | 0.29 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.0 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2.19 | high |
| minutes | 17 | 24 | 30.1 | 23.6 | medium |
| points | 5 | 11 | 18 | 11.76 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.71 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES61.7% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2024–25
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | @ NOP | 22 | 18.02 | +22.1% | 12 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +39.0 | 86% |
| 2025-04-09 | @ CHI | 16 | 18.63 | -14.1% | 7 | 2/6 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 54% |
| 2025-04-05 | vs MIL | 35 | 14.26 | +145.4% | 24 | 8/18 | 2/4 | 6/14 | 2/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7.0 | 64% |
| 2025-04-03 | vs MEM | 16 | 12.2 | +31.2% | 2 | 1/6 | 1/1 | 0/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 17% |
| 2025-04-02 | @ BOS | 19 | 11.05 | +72% | 10 | 4/5 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 | 92% |
| 2025-03-27 | vs ATL | 16 | 8.41 | +90.2% | 11 | 3/7 | 0/1 | 3/6 | 2/3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5.0 | 66% |
| 2025-03-25 | vs GSW | 24 | 4.48 | +435.8% | 17 | 6/8 | 1/1 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 | 106% |
| 2025-03-23 | vs CHA | 8 | 4.28 | +87% | 6 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6.0 | 60% |
| 2025-03-21 | vs HOU | 4 | 4.84 | -17.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| 2025-03-19 | vs DET | 14 | 2.88 | +386.6% | 4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | 45% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS2.2%1/46 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/46 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/46 games
2+ THREES45.6%21/46 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | MIA | 49 | 44.1 | #203 / 422 | 10.6M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | NYK | 72 | 41.9 | #219 / 409 | 11M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | DET | 51 | 49.9 | #101 / 408 | 15.5M | Core |
| 2021–22 | NYK | 81 | 43.8 | #196 / 423 | 15.1M | Core |
| 2020–21 | NYK | 54 | 44.9 | #174 / 410 | 13.3M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | PHI | 72 | 47.0 | #127 / 385 | 17.1M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2024–25
AF-PLAYER44.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#203of 422 ranked
PH$10.6MRotation
SAMPLE49observed games
Ball security85
Box defence29
Creation33
Efficiency60
Rebounding22
Scoring34
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
MIA
Miami Heat
EXPECTED MIN10.5
SCORING SHARE5.9%
CREATION SHARE4.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR57.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.