CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Tre Mann

Washington Wizards current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Washington Wizards · current teamGUSAFlorida

AF-PLAYER29.02025–26

NBA RANK#384of 409

PH$5.6MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN6.7governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Milwaukee Bucks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-0.4 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES232

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS8.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

51 games

MIN12.9

PTS5.5

REB1.7

AST1.6

STL0.5

BLK0.1

3PM1.0

FG%35.6%

3P%32.2%

FT%88.0%

+/--2.9

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Washington Wizards

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Milwaukee Bucks55.0% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors46.3% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Chicago Bulls41.1% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets28.8% winProjected 111–118

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers29.9% winProjected 112–118

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL4minutes

EXPECTED2.55pregame reference

DEVIATION+56.9%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0.4 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.8 PTS · 0.2 REB · 0.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G2.8 PTS · 0.9 REB · 1 AST

creation↑

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 232 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS40.2%749/1864

2-POINT45.1%450/997

3-POINT34.5%299/867

FREE THROW79.8%193/242

EFFECTIVE FG%48.2%

TRUE SHOOTING%50.5%

AST / TO1.8

PTS PER 3615.86rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

124 HOME · 108 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	124	19.29	8.46	2.51	2.26	1.3	0.69	0.14
Away	108	19.67	8.71	2.69	2.03	1.28	0.78	0.17
Home − Away	—	-0.4	-0.3	-0.2	+0.2	+0.0	-0.1	-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

232 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	2	4	2.15	high
minutes	9.3	18.8	29	19.47	high
points	3	7	13	8.58	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.59	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

232 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games

10+ ASSISTS10.4%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ NYK	4	2.55	+56.9%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-7.0	0%
2026-04-10	vs DET	3	2.75	+9.2%	2	1/4	1/2	0/2	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1.0	25%
2026-04-02	vs PHX	3	3.37	-11.1%	2	1/1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1.0	100%
2026-03-31	@ BKN	6	2.8	+114.2%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	2	2	2	1	0	2	-2.0	25%
2026-03-29	vs BOS	4	3.09	+29.3%	2	1/2	1/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	50%
2026-03-24	vs SAC	7	2.6	+168.9%	6	2/4	0/1	2/3	0/0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-2.0	75%
2026-03-21	vs MEM	3	2.43	+23.6%	0	0/2	0/1	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-3.0	0%
2026-03-19	vs ORL	7	2.35	+198%	3	1/3	0/2	1/1	0/0	0	0	1	1	2	1	-8.0	50%
2026-03-17	vs MIA	4	2.06	+94%	2	0/1	0/0	0/1	2/2	0	0	1	1	0	1	+2.0	53%
2026-03-08	@ PHX	2	8	-75%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+2.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS3.9%2/51 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/51 games

5+ ASSISTS11.8%6/51 games

2+ THREES25.5%13/51 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	CHA	51	12.9	5.5	1.7	1.6	35.6%	32.2%	88.0%
2024–25	CHA	13	24.5	14.1	2.9	3.0	43.5%	40.0%	90.5%
2023–24	CHA OKC	41	24.2	9.3	3.6	4.0	45.9%	37.3%	76.3%
2022–23	OKC	67	17.7	7.7	2.3	1.8	39.3%	31.5%	76.4%
2021–22	OKC	60	22.8	10.4	2.9	1.5	39.3%	36.0%	79.3%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	CHA	52	29.0	#384 / 409	5.6M	Depth
2023–24	OKC	41	43.8	#191 / 409	11.1M	Rotation
2022–23	OKC	68	30.3	#372 / 408	6.2M	Depth
2021–22	OKC	62	31.9	#373 / 423	6.9M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#384 OF 409

AF-PLAYER29.0descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#384of 409 ranked

PH$5.6MDepth

SAMPLE52observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE-3.8 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-6.1 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY14-0.4 pp next-game What If impact

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

EXPECTED MIN8.8

SCORING SHARE5.1%

CREATION SHARE7.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.