Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Skylar Mays
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER37.62023–24
NBA RANK#293of 409
PH$6.8MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2023–24
MIN10.7
PTS3.7
REB1.1
AST2.0
STL0.5
BLK0.1
3PM0.4
FG%38.2%
3P%30.8%
FT%73.3%
+/--2.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL2minutes
EXPECTED0.73pregame reference
DEVIATION+172.6%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G1 PTS · 1.2 REB · 0.6 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT8 G3 PTS · 1.38 REB · 1.88 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS44.1%165/374
2-POINT49.8%115/231
3-POINT35.0%50/143
FREE THROW85.5%53/62
EFFECTIVE FG%50.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.9%
AST / TO3.72
PTS PER 3614.51rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 53 | 9.21 | 3.68 | 0.81 | 1.51 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.06 |
| Away | 50 | 11.73 | 4.76 | 1.54 | 1.82 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.08 |
| Home − Away | — | -2.5 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -0.0 | +0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.66 | high |
| minutes | 2.1 | 6 | 17.3 | 10.43 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 8.2 | 4.2 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.17 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES32.9% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS32.9%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2023–24
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | @ NOP | 2 | 0.73 | +172.6% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| 2024-04-09 | vs GSW | 2 | 0.41 | +382.5% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | — |
| 2024-04-07 | vs MIN | 2 | 0.29 | +583.8% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | — |
| 2024-03-27 | @ MEM | 1 | 0.87 | +14.3% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | — |
| 2024-03-18 | vs ATL | 5 | 0.39 | +1167.4% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 | 50% |
| 2024-03-13 | @ SAC | 1 | 0.51 | +96.9% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 2024-03-10 | vs MIN | 1 | 0.34 | +196.6% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | — |
| 2024-02-25 | @ PHX | 1 | 4.28 | -76.7% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | — |
| 2024-02-22 | @ GSW | 6 | 4.07 | +47.5% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 100% |
| 2024-02-14 | @ UTA | 2 | 3.71 | -46% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | — |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/37 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/37 games
5+ ASSISTS13.5%5/37 games
2+ THREES13.5%5/37 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2023–24
AF-PLAYER37.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#293of 409 ranked
PH$6.8MDepth
SAMPLE38observed games
Ball security69
Box defence44
Creation84
Efficiency13
Rebounding18
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN8.3
SCORING SHARE5.9%
CREATION SHARE15.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR56.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
LAL
Los Angeles Lakers
EXPECTED MIN2.1
SCORING SHARE2.1%
CREATION SHARE2.6%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR41.4%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.