CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

RayJ Dennis

Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Atlanta Hawks · current teamGBaylor

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES27

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS3.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

17 games

MIN12.1

PTS4.3

REB1.5

AST1.9

STL0.2

BLK0.2

3PM0.8

FG%31.3%

3P%31.1%

FT%88.9%

+/--3.6

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ Orlando Magic50.6% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets42.8% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-24 · HOMEvs Houston Rockets55.0% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Houston Rockets40.4% winProjected 112–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Miami Heat61.2% winProjected 114–116

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL27minutes

EXPECTED—pregame reference

DEVIATION—expected minutes unavailable

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G10 PTS · 3.5 REB · 5 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G1 PTS · 0.3 REB · 0.3 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G10 PTS · 3.5 REB · 5 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 27 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS31.4%32/102

2-POINT33.3%15/45

3-POINT29.8%17/57

FREE THROW90.9%10/11

EFFECTIVE FG%39.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%42.6%

AST / TO1.86

PTS PER 3613.21rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

16 HOME · 11 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	16	6.62	2.19	0.69	1	0.38	0.25	0.06
Away	11	12.91	5.09	2	2.27	1	0.36	0.27
Home − Away	—	-6.3	-2.9	-1.3	-1.3	-0.6	-0.1	-0.2

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

27 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	3	1.52	high
minutes	2	5	17	9.19	high
points	0	2	7	3.37	high
rebounds	0	1	2	1.22	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

27 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ MIA	27	—	—	10	4/10	2/4	2/6	0/0	0	3	3	3	0	2	4	-24.0	50%
2026-03-14	vs MIL	3	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	—
2026-01-17	vs BOS	5	—	—	0	0/1	0/0	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	4	1	0	1	+12.0	0%
2025-12-18	@ OKC	4	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	2	2	0	0	1	0	-3.0	—
2025-11-28	vs WAS	6	—	—	0	0/2	0/1	0/1	0/0	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	+4.0	0%
2025-11-21	@ CLE	1	—	—	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+4.0	—
2025-11-15	vs TOR	5	—	—	7	2/3	1/1	1/2	2/2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	+5.0	90%
2025-11-13	@ PHX	3	—	—	3	1/2	0/1	1/1	0/0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	+9.0	75%
2025-11-09	@ GSW	6	—	—	5	2/4	1/2	1/2	0/0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1	-11.0	63%
2025-11-08	@ DEN	5	—	—	0	0/3	0/1	0/2	0/0	1	1	2	1	0	0	0	+4.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/17 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/17 games

5+ ASSISTS23.5%4/17 games

2+ THREES23.5%4/17 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	IND LAC ATL	17	12.1	4.3	1.5	1.9	31.3%	31.1%	88.9%
2024–25	IND	10	4.2	1.7	0.7	0.8	31.6%	25.0%	100.0%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 17 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

IND

Indiana Pacers

EXPECTED MIN8.4

SCORING SHARE5.2%

CREATION SHARE10.6%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.7%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

LAC

LA Clippers

EXPECTED MIN1.2

SCORING SHARE0.0%

CREATION SHARE0.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR37.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN2.0

SCORING SHARE0.9%

CREATION SHARE10.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR26.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.