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CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Oscar Tshiebwe

Houston Rockets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Houston Rockets · current teamF-CKentucky
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ works
STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN13.8governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Dallas Mavericks2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES33

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS6.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

12 games
MIN13.1
PTS5.7
REB5.1
AST1.2
STL0.3
BLK0.1
3PM0.0
FG%67.4%
3P%—
FT%50.0%
+/--3.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Houston Rockets

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster
2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks71.9% winProjected 110–116
2026-10-23 · AWAY@ San Antonio Spurs37.6% winProjected 110–115
2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Atlanta Hawks45.0% winProjected 112–114
2026-10-26 · HOMEvs Atlanta Hawks59.6% winProjected 112–115
2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks58.9% winProjected 113–113

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

LOADING

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED15.14pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G3.8 PTS · 2.8 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G9 PTS · 9 REB · 3 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G2.8 PTS · 2.3 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT1 G9 PTS · 9 REB · 3 AST

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 33 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS61.7%82/133
2-POINT61.7%82/133
3-POINT—0/0
FREE THROW67.3%33/49
EFFECTIVE FG%61.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%63.7%
AST / TO1.44
PTS PER 3616.3rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

13 HOME · 20 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home1314.236.466.080.5400.540.08
Away2012.55.655.50.800.60.1
Home − Away—+1.7+0.8+0.6-0.30.0-0.1-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

33 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0110.7high
minutes5.4122013.18high
points248.65.97high
rebounds25105.73high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

33 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES515.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2026-04-05@ OKC2011.2+78.6%42/42/40/00/213420022-39.041%
2026-04-03@ HOU2111.2+87.6%157/117/110/01/3821012023-15.061%
2026-03-27@ DEN1211.2+7.2%93/43/40/03/345930012+1.085%
2026-03-09vs GSW208.84+126.2%104/64/60/02/244811001+10.073%
2026-03-07@ MIL127.05+70.1%63/43/40/00/114510004-9.068%
2026-03-04@ PHI57.31-31.6%21/11/10/00/0213000110.0100%
2026-03-02vs DEN184.38+311%84/54/50/00/026810101-2.080%
2026-02-28vs NOP92.99+201.5%00/10/10/00/012300001+6.00%
2026-02-26vs NOP101.14+780.9%84/44/40/00/020200000+8.0100%
2026-02-12vs POR51.84+171%00/00/00/00/010130000+8.0—

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/12 games
10+ REBOUNDS8.3%1/12 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/12 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/12 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2025–26UTA1213.15.75.11.267.4%—50.0%
2024–25UTA1318.17.98.60.561.2%—72.4%
2023–24IND85.33.32.00.350.0%—75.0%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 12 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

UTA

Utah Jazz

EXPECTED MIN4.2
SCORING SHARE2.4%
CREATION SHARE5.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR35.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.