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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Nate Hinton

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Houston Rockets · last observed teamUSAHouston
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ works
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES37

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS2.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS0.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2023–24

14 games
MIN5.4
PTS2.4
REB1.6
AST0.7
STL0.2
BLK0.1
3PM0.5
FG%42.3%
3P%50.0%
FT%80.0%
+/-+1.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL14minutes
EXPECTED0.51pregame reference
DEVIATION+2644.1%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.2 PTS · 1 REB · 0.4 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 37 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS37.7%26/69
2-POINT41.7%15/36
3-POINT33.3%11/33
FREE THROW73.3%11/15
EFFECTIVE FG%45.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%48.9%
AST / TO2
PTS PER 3615.6rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

16 HOME · 21 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home164.121.880.620.190.250.120.06
Away214.992.110.710.330.380.14
Home − Away—-0.9-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.1-0.3-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

37 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0010.49high
minutes1.13.77.34.61high
points013.82high
rebounds001.80.84high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

37 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2023–24

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2024-04-14@ LAC140.51+2644.1%21/31/10/20/014540001-2.033%
2024-04-09vs ORL10.36+181%00/00/00/00/000001000-2.0—
2024-04-07@ DAL1——00/10/10/00/0112000000.00%
2024-04-05vs MIA1——00/20/10/10/021300010+1.00%
2024-02-14@ MEM151.09+1274.3%103/51/22/32/312321102+13.079%
2024-02-04@ MIN42.06+94.5%51/20/01/22/201120001+7.087%
2024-02-02vs TOR41.42+182.6%21/21/10/10/000001000+1.050%
2024-01-31vs NOP11.4-28.6%00/00/00/00/000000000+2.0—
2024-01-26@ CHA7——21/21/20/00/003310112-3.050%
2023-12-22vs DAL10——31/30/11/20/011210013-5.050%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/14 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/14 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/14 games
2+ THREES14.3%2/14 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2023–24HOU145.42.41.60.742.3%50.0%80.0%
2021–22IND21.20.00.00.00.0%——
2020–21DAL214.41.90.40.435.7%21.1%70.0%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2023–24

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 15 games of this player in 2023–24 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

HOU

Houston Rockets

EXPECTED MIN1.3
SCORING SHARE2.1%
CREATION SHARE1.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR30.4%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.