Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Markelle Fultz
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER35.72023–24
NBA RANK#325of 409
PH$7MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN4.8
PTS0.5
REB0.3
AST0.8
STL0.0
BLK0.0
3PM0.0
FG%16.7%
3P%—
FT%—
+/--5.3
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.77pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.2 PTS · 0.1 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS47.7%1014/2126
2-POINT50.7%935/1845
3-POINT28.1%79/281
FREE THROW76.2%294/386
EFFECTIVE FG%49.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.3%
AST / TO2.44
PTS PER 3615.86rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 117 | 23.26 | 9.88 | 3.03 | 4.32 | 0.38 | 1.16 | 0.28 |
| Away | 108 | 25.26 | 11.53 | 3.24 | 4.58 | 0.32 | 1.11 | 0.26 |
| Home − Away | — | -2.0 | -1.6 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4.44 | high |
| minutes | 18 | 26 | 31.1 | 24.22 | medium |
| points | 5.8 | 11 | 16 | 10.67 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.13 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES94.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.4% of games
10+ ASSISTS104.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | @ DET | 1 | 5.56 | -82% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ORL | 7 | 4.96 | +41.3% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NOP | 2 | 7.73 | -74.1% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ LAC | 9 | — | — | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/4 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/4 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/4 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/4 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | TOR | 4 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 16.7% | — | — |
| 2024–25 | SAC | 20 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 42.2% | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| 2023–24 | ORL | 43 | 21.2 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 47.2% | 22.2% | 69.7% |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 60 | 29.6 | 13.9 | 3.9 | 5.7 | 51.4% | 31.0% | 78.3% |
| 2021–22 | ORL | 18 | 20.0 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 47.4% | 23.5% | 80.7% |
| 2020–21 | ORL | 8 | 26.9 | 12.9 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 39.4% | 25.0% | 89.5% |
| 2019–20 | ORL | 72 | 27.7 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 46.5% | 26.7% | 73.0% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023–24 | ORL | 50 | 35.7 | #325 / 409 | 7M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | ORL | 60 | 48.0 | #127 / 408 | 16.2M | Core |
| 2019–20 | ORL | 77 | 40.3 | #221 / 385 | 12.8M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2023–24
AF-PLAYER35.7descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#325of 409 ranked
PH$7MDepth
SAMPLE50observed games
Ball security48
Box defence44
Creation51
Efficiency21
Rebounding37
Scoring35
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
TOR
Toronto Raptors
EXPECTED MIN3.0
SCORING SHARE0.4%
CREATION SHARE3.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR58.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.