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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Gordon Hayward

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Oklahoma City Thunder · last observed teamUSAButler
AF-PLAYER39.92023–24
NBA RANK#249of 409
PH$9.8MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES245

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS15.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2023–24

51 games
MIN24.4
PTS9.8
REB3.5
AST3.1
STL0.8
BLK0.3
3PM0.7
FG%46.4%
3P%41.1%
FT%74.2%
+/--2.6

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL22minutes
EXPECTED12.6pregame reference
DEVIATION+74.5%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.8 PTS · 2.2 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5 PTS · 1.6 REB · 2.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G5.7 PTS · 1.7 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.2 PTS · 1.9 REB · 2.2 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 245 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.3%1390/2939
2-POINT51.1%1046/2046
3-POINT38.5%344/893
FREE THROW82.2%620/754
EFFECTIVE FG%53.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%57.2%
AST / TO2.15
PTS PER 3617.76rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

118 HOME · 127 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home11831.2814.964.733.831.361.020.37
Away12730.6915.585.193.721.440.80.31
Home − Away—+0.6-0.6-0.5+0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

245 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists2363.78high
minutes2632.636.930.98low
points81522.215.28high
rebounds3574.97high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

245 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES135.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS10.4%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2023–24

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2024-04-14vs DAL2212.6+74.5%104/64/50/12/304420022+24.068%
2024-04-12vs MIL2611.04+135.6%63/43/40/00/124622010+16.068%
2024-04-10vs SAS2010.85+84.4%186/84/52/34/601101031+23.085%
2024-04-05@ IND1315.93-18.4%72/32/30/03/300001000+4.081%
2024-04-03@ BOS1815.06+19.5%00/40/30/10/002221000-28.00%
2024-04-02@ PHI2014.71+36%73/52/31/20/002220101-3.070%
2024-03-31@ NYK1116.56-33.6%52/51/31/20/010101001-10.050%
2024-03-29vs PHX1117.57-37.4%42/52/40/10/001120000+6.040%
2024-03-27vs HOU2216.71+31.6%134/71/43/32/402211000-6.074%
2024-03-26@ NOP1018.26-45.2%00/20/20/00/000000000-19.00%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS15.7%8/51 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/51 games
5+ ASSISTS25.5%13/51 games
2+ THREES17.6%9/51 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2023–24CHAOKC5124.49.83.53.146.4%41.1%74.2%
2022–23CHA5031.514.74.34.147.5%32.5%81.1%
2021–22CHA4931.915.94.63.645.9%39.1%84.6%
2020–21CHA4434.019.65.84.147.3%41.5%84.3%
2019–20BOS5133.517.16.74.049.0%38.5%85.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2023–24OKC5839.9#249 / 4099.8MDepth
2022–23CHA5041.9#215 / 40811.4MRotation
2021–22CHA4947.0#143 / 42315.7MCore
2020–21CHA4552.3#86 / 41018.8MCore
2019–20BOS5648.8#106 / 38518.5MCore

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2023–24

#249 OF 409
AF-PLAYER39.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#249of 409 ranked
PH$9.8MDepth
SAMPLE58observed games
Ball security
59
Box defence
31
Creation
53
Efficiency
39
Rebounding
26
Scoring
35

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

EXPECTED MIN23.4
SCORING SHARE13.5%
CREATION SHARE18.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.5%

+5.82 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 19 normal-load / 3 nonparticipation games.

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

EXPECTED MIN14.0
SCORING SHARE3.6%
CREATION SHARE5.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR81.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.