PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Doug McDermott

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Sacramento Kings · last observed teamUSACreighton

AF-PLAYER35.62025–26

NBA RANK#317of 409

PH$6.2MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES380

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS9.2

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

27 games

MIN15.0

PTS5.7

REB1.3

AST0.7

STL0.2

BLK0.1

3PM1.7

FG%38.9%

3P%39.1%

FT%88.9%

+/--3.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL26minutes

EXPECTED16.15pregame reference

DEVIATION+61%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 1.6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.2 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G6.2 PTS · 1.5 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G4.33 PTS · 1.17 REB · 1.5 AST

creation→

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding→

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 380 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.6%1293/2714

2-POINT56.1%643/1146

3-POINT41.4%650/1568

FREE THROW78.4%243/310

EFFECTIVE FG%59.6%

TRUE SHOOTING%61.0%

AST / TO1.73

PTS PER 3617.55rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

191 HOME · 189 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	191	18.62	8.57	1.95	1.12	1.57	0.21	0.08
Away	189	18.93	9.75	2.03	1.06	1.85	0.24	0.08
Home − Away	—	-0.3	-1.2	-0.1	+0.1	-0.3	-0.0	0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

380 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2	1.09	high
minutes	12	19.2	25.3	18.78	medium
points	3	9	14	9.16	high
rebounds	0	2	3	1.99	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

380 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-12	@ POR	26	16.15	+61%	7	2/5	0/1	2/4	1/2	0	3	3	0	1	0	0	4	0.0	60%
2026-04-10	vs GSW	14	17.88	-21.7%	3	0/5	0/2	0/3	3/3	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	-10.0	24%
2026-04-07	@ GSW	29	14.09	+105.9%	16	5/13	1/3	4/10	2/2	1	3	4	2	1	1	2	2	-4.0	58%
2026-04-05	vs LAC	11	14.23	-22.7%	3	1/3	0/0	1/3	0/0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	-12.0	50%
2026-04-03	vs NOP	18	15.89	+13.3%	3	1/6	0/1	1/5	0/0	2	1	3	2	0	0	0	2	-1.0	25%
2026-04-01	@ TOR	9	16.23	-44.5%	3	1/3	0/0	1/3	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-7.0	50%
2026-03-29	@ BKN	23	16.44	+39.9%	12	4/8	0/0	4/8	0/0	0	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	-2.0	75%
2026-03-26	@ ORL	12	20.09	-40.3%	6	2/5	0/1	2/4	0/0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	-2.0	60%
2026-03-24	@ CHA	30	18.89	+58.8%	9	4/8	3/4	1/4	0/0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0	1	-10.0	56%
2026-03-22	vs BKN	16	16.5	-3%	9	3/4	0/0	3/4	0/0	0	2	2	2	0	0	1	1	+7.0	113%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/27 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/27 games

5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/27 games

2+ THREES44.4%12/27 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	SAC	27	15.0	5.7	1.3	0.7	38.9%	39.1%	88.9%
2024–25	SAC	41	8.2	3.5	0.5	0.2	42.6%	43.4%	60.0%
2023–24	IND SAS	64	14.1	5.5	0.9	1.1	43.3%	41.0%	57.9%
2022–23	SAS	64	20.5	10.2	2.2	1.4	45.7%	41.3%	75.7%
2021–22	SAS	51	24.0	11.3	2.3	1.3	46.2%	42.2%	78.4%
2020–21	IND	66	24.5	13.6	3.3	1.3	53.2%	38.8%	81.6%
2019–20	IND	67	19.9	10.4	2.5	1.1	49.3%	44.2%	82.8%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	SAC	27	35.6	#317 / 409	6.2M	Depth
2024–25	SAC	42	37.5	#303 / 422	6.5M	Depth
2023–24	IND	74	38.8	#271 / 409	8.3M	Depth
2022–23	SAS	64	38.9	#267 / 408	8.9M	Depth
2021–22	SAS	51	40.1	#257 / 423	9.8M	Depth
2020–21	IND	68	50.6	#104 / 410	18.3M	Core
2019–20	IND	71	46.1	#140 / 385	14.5M	Rotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#317 OF 409

AF-PLAYER35.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#317of 409 ranked

PH$6.2MDepth

SAMPLE27observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

SAC

Sacramento Kings

EXPECTED MIN5.9

SCORING SHARE4.7%

CREATION SHARE1.3%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR42.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.