CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Tyrese Haliburton

Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Indiana Pacers · current teamGUSAIowa State

AF-PLAYER60.62024–25

NBA RANK#31of 422

PH$27.3MHigh Value · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN5.7governed role

NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES330

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS17.6

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS8.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

71 games

MIN33.8

PTS18.5

REB3.5

AST9.3

STL1.4

BLK0.7

3PM2.9

FG%47.2%

3P%38.4%

FT%85.5%

+/-+2.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Indiana Pacers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans42.3% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks64.9% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Brooklyn Nets60.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks50.4% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Philadelphia 76ers55.0% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED26.82pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G10.8 PTS · 2.4 REB · 6 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G18.6 PTS · 3.8 REB · 10.2 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G12.9 PTS · 2.5 REB · 6.5 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G21.9 PTS · 3.3 REB · 11.1 AST

creation↑

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 330 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.7%2092/4383

2-POINT56.1%1247/2223

3-POINT39.1%845/2160

FREE THROW85.5%762/891

EFFECTIVE FG%57.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%60.6%

AST / TO4.13

PTS PER 3619.11rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

173 HOME · 157 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	173	33.06	17.9	3.61	9.39	2.57	1.54	0.62
Away	157	33.07	17.17	3.72	8.3	2.55	1.41	0.58
Home − Away	—	-0.0	+0.7	-0.1	+1.1	+0.0	+0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

330 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	6	9	12	8.87	medium
minutes	30	34	37	33.06	low
points	11	17	24	17.55	medium
rebounds	2	3	6	3.66	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

330 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES13641.2% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games

10+ ASSISTS14644.2%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2025-04-10	vs CLE	36	30.62	+17.6%	23	8/16	4/5	4/11	3/4	1	7	8	10	0	3	2	1	+15.0	65%
2025-04-08	vs WAS	31	29.36	+5.6%	22	5/11	2/4	3/7	9/11	0	1	1	6	1	0	1	0	0.0	69%
2025-04-06	@ DEN	35	29.04	+20.5%	9	3/8	2/2	1/6	2/4	0	3	3	14	1	1	3	1	0.0	46%
2025-04-04	vs UTA	28	29.42	-4.8%	17	7/13	5/7	2/6	1/2	2	4	6	11	0	3	0	1	+5.0	61%
2025-04-02	vs CHA	34	27.89	+21.9%	22	9/15	5/9	4/6	0/0	0	1	1	10	2	2	0	0	+14.0	73%
2025-03-31	vs SAC	33	22.45	+47%	18	7/13	5/9	2/4	2/2	1	1	2	11	0	0	5	1	-5.0	65%
2025-03-29	@ OKC	29	17.99	+61.2%	18	6/12	2/3	4/9	2/2	1	3	4	3	2	0	0	1	-19.0	70%
2025-03-26	vs LAL	32	18.76	+70.6%	16	7/16	6/7	1/9	1/1	0	0	0	18	2	1	1	2	+7.0	49%
2025-03-24	vs MIN	29	19.2	+51%	24	9/16	6/9	3/7	3/3	0	4	4	11	1	1	1	0	+13.0	69%
2025-03-22	vs BKN	32	15.47	+106.8%	16	5/13	4/7	1/6	5/5	1	7	8	12	1	0	2	4	+8.0	53%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS38.0%27/71 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/71 games

5+ ASSISTS91.5%65/71 games

2+ THREES77.5%55/71 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2024–25	IND	71	33.8	18.5	3.5	9.3	47.2%	38.4%	85.5%
2023–24	IND	69	32.3	20.1	3.9	10.9	47.7%	36.4%	85.5%
2022–23	IND	56	33.5	20.8	3.7	10.4	49.0%	40.1%	86.8%
2021–22	IND SAC	77	35.0	15.3	4.0	8.2	47.4%	41.4%	84.2%
2020–21	SAC	57	30.1	13.0	3.0	5.4	47.4%	41.2%	85.7%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	IND	94	60.6	#31 / 422	27.3M	High Value
2023–24	IND	85	61.5	#20 / 409	27.5M	High Value
2022–23	IND	56	62.1	#15 / 408	23.9M	Core
2021–22	IND	77	54.4	#62 / 423	24.4M	Core
2020–21	SAC	57	51.6	#94 / 410	19.3M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#31 OF 422

AF-PLAYER60.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#31of 422 ranked

PH$27.3MHigh Value

SAMPLE94observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

IND

Indiana Pacers

EXPECTED MIN31.3

SCORING SHARE15.7%

CREATION SHARE31.8%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR82.2%

+5.32 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 77 normal-load / 4 nonparticipation games.