CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Trae Young

Washington Wizards current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Washington Wizards · current teamGUSAOklahoma

AF-PLAYER51.52024–25

NBA RANK#105of 422

PH$21.3MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN40.2governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Milwaukee Bucks2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACT-2.5 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES412

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS26.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS3.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS10.1

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

12 games

MIN27.0

PTS18.3

REB1.8

AST8.4

STL0.8

BLK0.1

3PM1.7

FG%43.7%

3P%31.3%

FT%85.9%

+/--6.1

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Washington Wizards

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Milwaukee Bucks55.0% winProjected 114–115

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Toronto Raptors46.3% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-24 · AWAY@ Chicago Bulls41.1% winProjected 113–118

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Charlotte Hornets28.8% winProjected 111–118

2026-10-28 · AWAY@ Cleveland Cavaliers29.9% winProjected 112–118

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED1.52pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G20.33 PTS · 2.67 REB · 11 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G20.33 PTS · 2.67 REB · 11 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 412 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.5%3388/7791

2-POINT49.0%2256/4603

3-POINT35.5%1132/3188

FREE THROW87.9%2916/3319

EFFECTIVE FG%50.7%

TRUE SHOOTING%58.5%

AST / TO2.36

PTS PER 3627.12rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

212 HOME · 200 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	212	35.07	26.84	3.47	10.2	2.74	1.09	0.15
Away	200	34.66	25.67	3.33	10.06	2.76	1.05	0.14
Home − Away	—	+0.4	+1.2	+0.1	+0.1	-0.0	+0.0	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

412 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	7	10	13	10.13	medium
minutes	32	35.5	38	34.87	low
points	18	26	34	26.27	medium
rebounds	2	3	5	3.4	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

412 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES22755.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES20.5% of games

10+ ASSISTS23256.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-14	@ BOS	24	16.8	+42.9%	11	5/10	5/8	0/2	1/2	1	3	4	6	0	0	1	2	-23.0	51%
2026-03-12	@ ORL	21	—	—	15	5/7	3/3	2/4	3/3	0	3	3	6	0	0	2	4	-13.0	90%
2025-12-27	vs NYK	31	18.43	+68.2%	9	2/9	2/5	0/4	5/5	0	0	0	10	2	0	6	3	-13.0	40%
2025-12-26	vs MIA	32	13.33	+140%	30	8/16	3/8	5/8	9/9	0	2	2	6	1	0	4	2	-1.0	75%
2025-12-23	vs CHI	31	—	—	22	7/16	6/9	1/7	7/9	0	1	1	15	2	0	1	1	+2.0	55%
2025-12-21	vs CHI	26	—	—	35	10/15	3/7	7/8	8/9	0	1	1	9	0	0	2	3	+2.0	92%
2025-12-18	@ CHA	20	—	—	8	3/8	3/3	0/5	2/2	0	1	1	10	1	0	3	2	-3.0	45%
2025-10-29	@ BKN	7	—	—	6	2/4	2/4	0/0	2/3	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	-1.0	56%
2025-10-27	@ CHI	34	—	—	21	7/22	6/12	1/10	6/7	0	3	3	17	0	0	1	2	-5.0	42%
2025-10-25	vs OKC	30	—	—	15	5/12	3/9	2/3	3/4	0	4	4	10	0	0	5	2	-12.0	55%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS50.0%6/12 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/12 games

5+ ASSISTS91.7%11/12 games

2+ THREES33.3%4/12 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	WAS ATL	12	27.0	18.3	1.8	8.4	43.7%	31.3%	85.9%
2024–25	ATL	75	36.0	24.1	3.1	11.6	41.1%	33.7%	87.6%
2023–24	ATL	54	35.9	25.7	2.8	10.8	43.0%	37.3%	85.5%
2022–23	ATL	73	34.8	26.2	3.0	10.2	43.0%	33.5%	88.6%
2021–22	ATL	75	34.9	28.3	3.8	9.7	46.0%	38.3%	90.4%
2020–21	ATL	63	33.7	25.3	3.9	9.4	43.8%	34.3%	88.6%
2019–20	ATL	60	35.3	29.6	4.2	9.3	43.7%	36.1%	86.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	ATL	77	51.5	#105 / 422	21.3M	Core
2023–24	ATL	55	55.2	#62 / 409	21.3M	Core
2022–23	ATL	80	53.7	#65 / 408	24M	Core
2021–22	ATL	80	58.6	#29 / 423	27.2M	High Value
2020–21	ATL	79	56.6	#45 / 410	26M	High Value
2019–20	ATL	60	57.8	#34 / 385	25M	High Value

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#105 OF 422

AF-PLAYER51.5descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#105of 422 ranked

PH$21.3MCore

SAMPLE77observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGEUNAVAILABLEcomparison unavailable

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

WAS

Washington Wizards

EXPECTED MIN10.0

SCORING SHARE11.3%

CREATION SHARE22.4%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR48.8%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN12.7

SCORING SHARE16.2%

CREATION SHARE28.0%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR46.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.