PROBHOOPS · NBA ANALYTICS · TEAMS · PLAYERS · PROBABILITIES
FIND ANYTHING

Teams & players

Start typing to search the ProbHoops directory.

Tip: press / anywhere to search.

PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Terry Rozier

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Miami Heat · last observed teamUSALouisville
AF-PLAYER29.92024–25
NBA RANK#391of 422
PH$6.7MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES391

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS18.3

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS4.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

62 games
MIN26.1
PTS10.7
REB3.7
AST2.6
STL0.6
BLK0.2
3PM1.4
FG%39.1%
3P%29.3%
FT%85.7%
+/--2.5

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL34minutes
EXPECTED2.84pregame reference
DEVIATION+1098.5%expanded minutes

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0.8 PTS · 2 REB · 0.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G11.8 PTS · 3.2 REB · 1.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.4 PTS · 1 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G11.9 PTS · 3.7 REB · 2.5 AST

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 391 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.0%2604/6050
2-POINT48.9%1586/3247
3-POINT36.3%1018/2803
FREE THROW84.3%921/1092
EFFECTIVE FG%51.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.7%
AST / TO2.48
PTS PER 3619.96rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

192 HOME · 199 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home19232.7918.474.124.452.720.980.28
Away19933.1318.14.224.252.491.140.29
Home − Away—-0.3+0.4-0.1+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

391 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists2464.35high
minutes29343832.96low
points11192518.28medium
rebounds2464.17high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

391 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES153.8% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.3% of games
10+ ASSISTS133.3%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2025-04-13vs WAS342.84+1098.5%21/91/50/40/033610010-1.011%
2025-04-11@ NOP121.04+1057.2%21/31/10/20/003321010+11.033%
2025-04-05vs MIL41.24+222.1%00/20/10/10/001100000-8.00%
2025-03-17@ NYK617.74-66.2%00/30/10/20/000010010-15.00%
2025-03-15@ MEM2715.03+79.6%52/91/31/60/003320010-16.028%
2025-03-12vs LAC1622.03-27.4%73/82/51/30/0101400000.044%
2025-03-10vs CHA1421.98-36.3%41/50/21/31/215612010+9.034%
2025-03-08vs CHI2719.18+40.8%155/90/05/90/013402001-1.083%
2025-03-07vs MIN1217.41-31.1%52/31/21/10/002200001-8.083%
2025-03-05@ CLE4011.93+235.3%123/142/61/85/501121041-3.037%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS9.7%6/62 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/62 games
5+ ASSISTS17.7%11/62 games
2+ THREES33.9%21/62 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2024–25MIA6226.110.73.72.639.1%29.3%85.7%
2023–24MIACHA6133.519.84.05.644.3%36.3%86.9%
2022–23CHA6335.321.14.15.141.5%32.7%80.9%
2021–22CHA7333.719.34.34.544.4%37.4%85.2%
2020–21CHA6934.520.44.44.345.0%38.9%81.7%
2019–20CHA6334.418.04.44.142.3%40.7%86.9%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2024–25MIA6229.9#391 / 4226.7MDepth
2023–24CHA6151.0#104 / 40918.8MCore
2022–23CHA6343.1#196 / 40813.9MRotation
2021–22CHA7453.1#72 / 42323.2MCore
2020–21CHA7051.0#101 / 41021.3MCore
2019–20CHA6342.9#184 / 38514.9MRotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#391 OF 422
AF-PLAYER29.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#391of 422 ranked
PH$6.7MDepth
SAMPLE62observed games
Ball security
75
Box defence
18
Creation
41
Efficiency
13
Rebounding
22
Scoring
42

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MIA

Miami Heat

EXPECTED MIN19.7
SCORING SHARE10.2%
CREATION SHARE9.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.7%

-4.30 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 28 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.