Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Taylor Hendricks
Memphis Grizzlies current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER32.22025–26
NBA RANK#361of 409
PH$5.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN36.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Utah Jazz2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT+0.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN17.4
PTS5.8
REB3.2
AST0.9
STL0.7
BLK0.5
3PM0.8
FG%42.2%
3P%29.5%
FT%67.3%
+/--6.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Memphis Grizzlies
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED26.6pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.6 PTS · 4.6 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.5 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.4 PTS · 3.5 REB · 1.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes↑
rebounding↓
scoring↑
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS42.9%201/469
2-POINT54.6%112/205
3-POINT33.7%89/264
FREE THROW72.0%59/82
EFFECTIVE FG%52.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.4%
AST / TO1.18
PTS PER 3611.9rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45 | 19.31 | 6.58 | 4.18 | 0.87 | 1 | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Away | 40 | 19.88 | 6.35 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.6 | +0.2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.84 | high |
| minutes | 12 | 19 | 27.2 | 19.58 | medium |
| points | 2 | 5 | 10.2 | 6.47 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.95 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES11.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs HOU | 30 | 24.96 | +20.2% | 5 | 2/11 | 2/6 | 0/5 | 1/2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 | 21% |
| 2026-03-25 | vs SAS | 28 | 23.59 | +18.7% | 2 | 1/7 | 1/3 | 0/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -33.0 | 14% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ ATL | 26 | 23.41 | +11.1% | 9 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 3/9 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -29.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ CHA | 25 | 23.06 | +8.4% | 14 | 4/7 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 | 80% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs BOS | 29 | 22.09 | +31.3% | 12 | 5/7 | 5/5 | 0/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-18 | vs DEN | 24 | 22.35 | +7.4% | 13 | 6/18 | 5/8 | 1/10 | 0/0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 | 36% |
| 2026-03-03 | @ MIN | 24 | 23.19 | +3.5% | 8 | 3/9 | 2/5 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +10.0 | 41% |
| 2026-02-25 | vs GSW | 28 | — | — | 14 | 6/11 | 6/9 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -15.0 | 57% |
| 2026-02-21 | @ MIA | 24 | — | — | 4 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | 35% |
| 2026-01-30 | vs BKN | 15 | — | — | 7 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 | 44% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS4.8%2/42 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/42 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/42 games
2+ THREES16.7%7/42 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | MEM | 42 | 32.2 | #361 / 409 | 5.9M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 40 | 39.6 | #257 / 409 | 8.5M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER32.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#361of 409 ranked
PH$5.9MDepth
SAMPLE42observed games
Ball security60
Box defence47
Creation17
Efficiency30
Rebounding39
Scoring25
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-69.4 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+18.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY6+0.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN9.1
SCORING SHARE4.2%
CREATION SHARE2.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR59.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
MEM
Memphis Grizzlies
EXPECTED MIN23.2
SCORING SHARE10.5%
CREATION SHARE9.3%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR76.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.