PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Talen Horton-Tucker

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Chicago Bulls · last observed teamUSAIowa State

AF-PLAYER45.62024–25

NBA RANK#182of 422

PH$10.9MRotation · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES300

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS9.2

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.6

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS2.8

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2024–25

56 games

MIN12.1

PTS6.4

REB1.7

AST1.4

STL0.3

BLK0.2

3PM0.7

FG%45.3%

3P%34.4%

FT%73.6%

+/--0.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2024–25

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED18.69pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G6.2 PTS · 0.8 REB · 1.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G3.2 PTS · 0.6 REB · 0.4 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G8.7 PTS · 1.2 REB · 1.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.2 PTS · 1.8 REB · 0.5 AST

creation→

efficiency→

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↑

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 300 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS42.6%1016/2384

2-POINT49.3%771/1564

3-POINT29.9%245/820

FREE THROW77.3%472/611

EFFECTIVE FG%47.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%51.8%

AST / TO2.03

PTS PER 3617.03rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

149 HOME · 151 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	149	19.64	9.35	2.74	2.87	0.83	0.77	0.37
Away	151	19.1	8.98	2.48	2.74	0.8	0.77	0.35
Home − Away	—	+0.5	+0.4	+0.3	+0.1	+0.0	0.0	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

300 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	2	5	2.8	high
minutes	12	19.7	27.4	19.36	medium
points	3	8	15	9.16	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.61	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

300 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES72.3% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS72.3%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2024–25

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2025-04-11	vs WAS	24	16.83	+42.6%	12	3/9	3/5	0/4	6/8	0	1	1	4	1	1	2	2	+1.0	48%
2025-04-09	vs MIA	8	15.69	-49%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0.0	25%
2025-04-08	@ CLE	30	11.05	+171.6%	17	6/11	4/6	2/5	3/3	0	2	2	3	0	0	1	1	-9.0	69%
2025-04-04	vs POR	16	8.5	+88.2%	13	4/5	4/4	0/1	5/6	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	+1.0	85%
2025-04-01	vs TOR	32	3.65	+775.9%	27	8/16	5/8	3/8	8/8	2	4	6	3	0	0	0	1	+19.0	69%
2025-03-31	@ OKC	16	1.02	+1473.2%	16	6/10	5/6	1/4	3/5	1	1	2	2	1	0	1	1	+12.0	66%
2025-03-22	@ LAL	3	4.11	-27.1%	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	+4.0	0%
2025-03-17	@ UTA	6	5.61	+7%	1	0/3	0/2	0/1	1/2	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	-5.0	13%
2025-03-13	vs BKN	4	10.68	-62.5%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-3.0	—
2025-03-10	vs IND	3	10.22	-70.6%	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	-6.0	—

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2024–25

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS5.4%3/56 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/56 games

5+ ASSISTS5.4%3/56 games

2+ THREES21.4%12/56 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2024–25	CHI	56	12.1	6.4	1.7	1.4	45.3%	34.4%	73.6%
2023–24	UTA	51	19.7	10.1	2.4	3.5	39.6%	33.0%	80.7%
2022–23	UTA	65	20.2	10.7	3.2	3.8	41.9%	28.6%	75.0%
2021–22	LAL	57	25.0	9.8	3.2	2.7	41.4%	26.2%	80.7%
2020–21	LAL	65	20.1	9.0	2.6	2.8	45.9%	28.2%	77.5%
2019–20	LAL	6	13.5	5.7	1.2	1.0	46.7%	30.8%	50.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2024–25	CHI	57	45.6	#182 / 422	10.9M	Rotation
2023–24	UTA	51	42.6	#209 / 409	10.5M	Rotation
2022–23	UTA	65	41.8	#216 / 408	10.8M	Rotation
2021–22	LAL	59	34.1	#349 / 423	7.5M	Depth
2020–21	LAL	77	40.2	#263 / 410	9.6M	Depth

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2024–25

#182 OF 422

AF-PLAYER45.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#182of 422 ranked

PH$10.9MRotation

SAMPLE57observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2024–25

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN8.0

SCORING SHARE4.3%

CREATION SHARE4.1%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.