CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Indiana Pacers · current teamFCameroonNew Mexico State

AF-PLAYER52.92025–26

NBA RANK#74of 409

PH$20.4MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN25.2governed role

NEXT GAME@ New Orleans Pelicans2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES460

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS22.4

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS7.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.4

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

49 games

MIN33.8

PTS24.3

REB6.7

AST3.9

STL1.1

BLK0.5

3PM1.7

FG%47.9%

3P%36.0%

FT%71.3%

+/--3.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Indiana Pacers

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · AWAY@ New Orleans Pelicans42.3% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-23 · HOMEvs Dallas Mavericks64.9% winProjected 113–116

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Brooklyn Nets60.5% winProjected 113–114

2026-10-26 · AWAY@ Milwaukee Bucks50.4% winProjected 113–115

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Philadelphia 76ers55.0% winProjected 113–115

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED29.94pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G21.8 PTS · 7.2 REB · 3.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G6.1 PTS · 2.5 REB · 1 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G23.6 PTS · 6.3 REB · 3.4 AST

creation→

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 460 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS48.9%3882/7935

2-POINT53.4%3216/6018

3-POINT34.7%666/1917

FREE THROW76.0%1875/2468

EFFECTIVE FG%53.1%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.1%

AST / TO2.05

PTS PER 3622.96rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

231 HOME · 229 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	231	35.08	22.96	7.56	4.52	1.47	0.95	0.53
Away	229	35.18	21.84	7.25	4.24	1.42	1.05	0.59
Home − Away	—	-0.1	+1.1	+0.3	+0.3	+0.1	-0.1	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

460 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	6	4.38	high
minutes	31	35	39	35.13	low
points	16	22	28	22.4	medium
rebounds	5	7	10	7.4	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

460 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES11525.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES71.5% of games

10+ ASSISTS163.5%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-03-29	vs MIA	31	26.23	+18.2%	30	11/24	8/16	3/8	5/7	2	9	11	6	1	0	4	2	+12.0	55%
2026-03-27	vs LAC	33	26.51	+24.5%	11	4/16	4/13	0/3	3/4	0	6	6	3	1	0	5	3	-6.0	31%
2026-03-25	vs LAL	30	26.44	+13.5%	20	7/15	6/13	1/2	5/7	2	6	8	1	1	0	4	6	-20.0	55%
2026-03-23	@ ORL	34	25.61	+32.7%	37	13/26	11/21	2/5	9/9	1	5	6	1	2	2	2	3	-1.0	62%
2026-03-21	@ SAS	29	22.07	+31.4%	14	6/14	6/12	0/2	2/3	0	2	2	5	1	0	1	0	-21.0	46%
2026-03-08	@ POR	32	34.27	-6.6%	22	9/20	9/16	0/4	4/9	1	5	6	5	2	0	2	2	-19.0	46%
2026-03-06	@ LAL	29	35	-17.1%	26	10/20	10/17	0/3	6/9	0	5	5	3	2	0	2	1	-8.0	54%
2026-03-04	@ LAC	30	34.8	-13.8%	29	8/14	7/11	1/3	12/14	1	4	5	1	0	0	0	2	-21.0	72%
2026-02-02	vs HOU	33	—	—	27	12/21	10/18	2/3	1/1	2	2	4	5	1	0	3	3	-8.0	63%
2026-01-31	vs ATL	33	—	—	25	11/15	10/14	1/1	2/3	1	5	6	1	2	1	4	2	+6.0	77%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS83.7%41/49 games

10+ REBOUNDS18.4%9/49 games

5+ ASSISTS36.7%18/49 games

2+ THREES53.1%26/49 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	IND	49	33.8	24.3	6.7	3.9	47.9%	36.0%	71.3%
2024–25	IND	76	32.9	20.2	7.0	3.3	51.6%	38.9%	73.4%
2023–24	IND TOR	80	33.3	21.7	7.1	4.3	53.6%	34.5%	73.2%
2022–23	TOR	71	37.3	24.2	7.8	5.8	48.0%	32.4%	77.4%
2021–22	TOR	68	37.9	22.8	8.6	5.3	49.4%	34.4%	74.9%
2020–21	TOR	56	35.8	21.4	7.2	4.5	45.5%	29.7%	82.7%
2019–20	TOR	60	35.2	22.9	7.3	3.5	45.3%	35.9%	79.2%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	IND	49	52.9	#74 / 409	20.4M	Core
2024–25	IND	99	57.7	#39 / 422	26.7M	High Value
2023–24	IND	97	59.0	#35 / 409	27M	High Value
2022–23	TOR	72	55.2	#50 / 408	24.8M	Core
2021–22	TOR	74	54.8	#60 / 423	24.8M	Core
2020–21	TOR	58	50.3	#106 / 410	19.7M	Core
2019–20	TOR	71	47.4	#119 / 385	19.7M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#74 OF 409

AF-PLAYER52.9descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#74of 409 ranked

PH$20.4MCore

SAMPLE49observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE+30.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct

AF MOVEMENT-8.9 pp2024–25 → 2025–26

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-8.5 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

UNDERUSED

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

IND

Indiana Pacers

EXPECTED MIN31.6

SCORING SHARE21.6%

CREATION SHARE16.2%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR84.3%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.