Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Nicolo Melli
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER28.02020–21
NBA RANK#383of 410
PH$5.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2020–21
MIN12.4
PTS2.9
REB2.6
AST0.9
STL0.3
BLK0.1
3PM0.5
FG%32.3%
3P%27.4%
FT%73.9%
+/-+0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2020–21
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL15.02minutes
EXPECTED12.13pregame reference
DEVIATION+23.8%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 3.6 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4.6 PTS · 3 REB · 1 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G3.9 PTS · 2.5 REB · 0.9 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G3.83 PTS · 2.5 REB · 0.83 AST
creation↑
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.3%179/456
2-POINT52.4%87/166
3-POINT31.7%92/290
FREE THROW74.0%71/96
EFFECTIVE FG%49.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%52.3%
AST / TO2.12
PTS PER 3611.81rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 54 | 13.72 | 4.04 | 2.48 | 0.98 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| Away | 50 | 16.96 | 6.06 | 3.24 | 1.4 | 1.02 | 0.52 | 0.18 |
| Home − Away | — | -3.2 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.18 | high |
| minutes | 7.1 | 15.4 | 23 | 15.28 | high |
| points | 0 | 4 | 9.4 | 5.01 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2.85 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2020–21
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-16 | @ MIN | 15 | 12.13 | +23.8% | 10 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 73% |
| 2021-05-14 | vs TOR | 21.1 | 9.94 | +112.1% | 6 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +7.0 | 50% |
| 2021-05-12 | vs NOP | 7.4 | 11.38 | -34.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2021-05-11 | @ MEM | 16 | 10.13 | +58.3% | 7 | 2/7 | 1/4 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.0 | 44% |
| 2021-05-09 | @ CLE | 21.3 | 8.01 | +165.7% | 9 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +16.0 | 77% |
| 2021-05-06 | vs BKN | 6.2 | 8.67 | -28.7% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 | 0% |
| 2021-05-04 | @ MIA | 15.1 | 8.81 | +71.1% | 0 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 | 0% |
| 2021-05-02 | vs SAC | 6.4 | 9.63 | -33.5% | 4 | 1/4 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 | 41% |
| 2021-05-01 | vs WAS | 10.4 | 8.35 | +25.1% | 3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 80% |
| 2021-04-27 | @ GSW | 12 | 8.26 | +45.2% | 13 | 5/8 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 | 70% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2020–21
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/44 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/44 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/44 games
2+ THREES9.1%4/44 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020–21 | DAL | 77 | 28.0 | #383 / 410 | 5.5M | Depth |
| 2019–20 | NOP | 72 | 38.9 | #242 / 385 | 9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2020–21
AF-PLAYER28.0descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#383of 410 ranked
PH$5.5MDepth
SAMPLE77observed games
Ball security72
Box defence25
Creation49
Efficiency10
Rebounding46
Scoring8
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2020–21
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NOP
New Orleans Pelicans
EXPECTED MIN5.1
SCORING SHARE1.5%
CREATION SHARE3.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR47.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
DAL
Dallas Mavericks
EXPECTED MIN10.3
SCORING SHARE3.1%
CREATION SHARE3.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR70.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.