Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Nerlens Noel
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER42.92021–22
NBA RANK#214of 423
PH$9.6MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2022–23
MIN11.5
PTS2.1
REB2.7
AST0.6
STL0.9
BLK0.6
3PM0.1
FG%36.1%
3P%50.0%
FT%66.7%
+/--4.5
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2022–23
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.35pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G2 PTS · 4.5 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT2 G2 PTS · 4.5 REB · 2 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS62.4%365/585
2-POINT63.2%363/574
3-POINT—2/11
FREE THROW72.9%159/218
EFFECTIVE FG%62.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%65.4%
AST / TO0.82
PTS PER 369.41rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81 | 21.71 | 5.85 | 5.53 | 0.94 | 0.01 | 1.12 | 1.77 |
| Away | 85 | 19.43 | 4.91 | 5.26 | 0.68 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 1.49 |
| Home − Away | — | +2.3 | +0.9 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.3 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.81 | high |
| minutes | 15.9 | 19.9 | 26.7 | 20.54 | medium |
| points | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5.37 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.39 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES53.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2022–23
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-12 | @ DEN | 7 | 11.27 | -37.9% | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.0 | 17% |
| 2023-03-09 | @ MIL | 18 | 15.15 | +18.8% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 | 0% |
| 2023-03-07 | @ HOU | 18 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4.0 | 100% |
| 2023-02-08 | @ CLE | 3 | 1.04 | +188% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 | 0% |
| 2023-01-23 | vs MIL | 6 | 9.94 | -39.6% | 3 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 | 54% |
| 2023-01-13 | vs NOP | 19 | 9.16 | +107.3% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12.0 | 67% |
| 2023-01-11 | vs MIN | 21 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 50% |
| 2023-01-10 | @ PHI | 21 | — | — | 5 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -22.0 | 50% |
| 2023-01-08 | vs PHI | 13 | — | — | 6 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11.0 | 100% |
| 2023-01-02 | @ POR | 6 | — | — | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2022–23
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/17 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/17 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/17 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/17 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021–22 | NYK | 30 | 42.9 | #214 / 423 | 9.6M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | NYK | 69 | 47.9 | #135 / 410 | 16.4M | Core |
| 2019–20 | OKC | 67 | 55.5 | #51 / 385 | 19.1M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2021–22
AF-PLAYER42.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#214of 423 ranked
PH$9.6MDepth
SAMPLE30observed games
Ball security19
Box defence81
Creation19
Efficiency59
Rebounding60
Scoring14
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2022–23
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN4.7
SCORING SHARE2.1%
CREATION SHARE2.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR41.8%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN6.0
SCORING SHARE0.9%
CREATION SHARE5.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR45.0%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.