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PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Matt Thomas

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Chicago Bulls · last observed teamUSAIowa State
AF-PLAYER38.12021–22
NBA RANK#292of 423
PH$7.2MDepth · fictional game currency
STATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual
REGULAR-SEASON GAMES125

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS4.0

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS1.2

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS0.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2021–22

39 games
MIN10.9
PTS4.0
REB1.1
AST0.5
STL0.2
BLK0.1
3PM0.9
FG%42.7%
3P%40.5%
FT%80.0%
+/-+1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2021–22

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.29pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.2 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.6 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0.8 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G4.3 PTS · 1.3 REB · 0.3 AST

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 125 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS43.9%176/401
2-POINT49.3%68/138
3-POINT41.1%108/263
FREE THROW80.4%37/46
EFFECTIVE FG%57.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%59.0%
AST / TO1.58
PTS PER 3615.02rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

61 HOME · 64 AWAY
SplitGMINPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLK
Home619.624.081.230.640.920.250.03
Away649.453.881.160.330.810.110.03
Home − Away—+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.3+0.1+0.10.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

125 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

CategoryFloorMedianCeilingMeanVolatility
assists0010.48high
minutes2.67.815.99.53high
points0383.98high
rebounds0121.19high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

125 GAMES
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2021–22

One log, the window you choose

10 games
DateOppMINEXP MINMIN ΔPTSFG2P3PFTORDRREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-TS%
2022-03-21vs TOR1.31.29-0.6%00/00/00/00/000000000-3.0—
2022-03-18@ PHX3.90.66+489.3%83/41/12/30/000000000+2.0100%
2022-03-16@ UTA2.90.5+476.4%00/20/00/20/001100000+2.00%
2022-02-28@ MIA3.36.82-51.6%42/22/20/00/001100000+7.0100%
2022-02-26vs MEM0.16.57-98.7%00/00/00/00/0000000000.0—
2022-02-16vs SAC10.68.68+21.9%30/30/10/23/301111011+6.035%
2022-02-14vs SAS6.211.35-45.7%00/10/00/10/0000000000.00%
2022-02-12vs OKC13.910.62+30.6%00/10/00/10/002200110+1.00%
2022-02-09@ CHA4.114.9-72.4%31/10/01/10/000000001-7.0150%
2022-02-07vs PHX1215.03-20.2%51/10/01/12/202221001+13.0133%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2021–22

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/39 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/39 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/39 games
2+ THREES23.1%9/39 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games
SeasonTeam(s)GMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%FT%
2021–22CHI3910.94.01.10.542.7%40.5%80.0%
2020–21UTATOR457.33.11.00.439.4%33.8%85.7%
2019–20TOR4110.74.91.50.548.7%47.5%75.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

SeasonTeamGAF-PlayerRankPH$Band
2021–22CHI7238.1#292 / 4237.2MDepth
2020–21UTA8328.6#379 / 4105.3MDepth
2019–20TOR6348.2#112 / 38512.9MRotation

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2021–22

#292 OF 423
AF-PLAYER38.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#292of 423 ranked
PH$7.2MDepth
SAMPLE72observed games
Ball security
93
Box defence
13
Creation
29
Efficiency
56
Rebounding
10
Scoring
28

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2021–22

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

CHI

Chicago Bulls

EXPECTED MIN5.8
SCORING SHARE2.6%
CREATION SHARE1.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR53.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.