Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Luguentz Dort
Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER24.92025–26
NBA RANK#404of 409
PH$6.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN13.8governed role
NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.1 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN27.2
PTS8.5
REB3.6
AST1.2
STL0.9
BLK0.4
3PM1.9
FG%38.9%
3P%34.4%
FT%75.9%
+/-+5.0
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.37pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G5.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G8.6 PTS · 2 REB · 1.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.9 PTS · 1.7 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G7.9 PTS · 3.2 REB · 1.1 AST
creation↑
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring↑
HOT historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.6%1708/4212
2-POINT46.9%850/1813
3-POINT35.8%858/2399
FREE THROW78.8%730/926
EFFECTIVE FG%50.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.2%
AST / TO1.45
PTS PER 3614.51rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 215 | 28.83 | 12.24 | 3.81 | 1.55 | 2.16 | 1.01 | 0.43 |
| Away | 214 | 29.06 | 11.08 | 3.85 | 1.56 | 1.84 | 0.89 | 0.39 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.2 | +1.2 | -0.0 | -0.0 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.55 | high |
| minutes | 24 | 30 | 34 | 28.95 | low |
| points | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11.66 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3.83 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES51.2% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | @ LAC | 20 | 21.14 | -5.4% | 6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +12.0 | 75% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ LAL | 23 | 21.21 | +8.4% | 8 | 3/6 | 1/1 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +28.0 | 67% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs UTA | 21 | 21.58 | -2.7% | 13 | 5/7 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +24.0 | 93% |
| 2026-04-02 | vs LAL | 21 | 19.49 | +7.7% | 14 | 5/8 | 1/2 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +15.0 | 88% |
| 2026-03-30 | vs DET | 22 | 19.85 | +10.8% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-29 | vs NYK | 27 | 18.74 | +44.1% | 12 | 4/7 | 2/2 | 2/5 | 2/2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +13.0 | 76% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ BOS | 22 | 19.57 | +12.4% | 14 | 5/9 | 1/3 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.0 | 78% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ PHI | 22 | 20.79 | +5.8% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.0 | 20% |
| 2026-03-17 | @ ORL | 19 | 28.17 | -32.5% | 5 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -24.0 | 43% |
| 2026-03-15 | vs MIN | 18 | 30.04 | -40.1% | 3 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 | 26% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/66 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/66 games
5+ ASSISTS1.5%1/66 games
2+ THREES53.0%35/66 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | OKC | 66 | 27.2 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 38.9% | 34.4% | 75.9% |
| 2024–25 | OKC | 71 | 29.3 | 10.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 43.5% | 41.2% | 71.7% |
| 2023–24 | OKC | 79 | 28.4 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 43.8% | 39.4% | 82.6% |
| 2022–23 | OKC | 74 | 30.7 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 38.8% | 33.0% | 77.2% |
| 2021–22 | OKC | 51 | 32.6 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 40.4% | 33.3% | 84.3% |
| 2020–21 | OKC | 52 | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 38.7% | 34.4% | 74.4% |
| 2019–20 | OKC | 36 | 22.8 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 39.5% | 29.7% | 79.3% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | OKC | 80 | 24.9 | #404 / 409 | 6.9M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | OKC | 95 | 35.1 | #342 / 422 | 9.5M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | OKC | 89 | 37.0 | #306 / 409 | 10.1M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | OKC | 76 | 34.6 | #320 / 408 | 9M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | OKC | 51 | 37.8 | #302 / 423 | 9.2M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | OKC | 52 | 33.2 | #342 / 410 | 7.7M | Depth |
| 2019–20 | OKC | 44 | 24.0 | #376 / 385 | 5.7M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER24.9descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#404of 409 ranked
PH$6.9MDepth
SAMPLE80observed games
Ball security68
Box defence29
Creation18
Efficiency24
Rebounding20
Scoring16
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-24.6 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-17.8 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-12.6 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY8-1.1 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
OKC
Oklahoma City Thunder
EXPECTED MIN22.9
SCORING SHARE6.9%
CREATION SHARE5.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR77.3%
-0.98 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 48 normal-load / 5 nonparticipation games.