PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Lou Williams

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Atlanta Hawks · last observed teamUSASouth Gwinnett HS (GA)

AF-PLAYER36.92021–22

NBA RANK#314of 423

PH$7.3MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES187

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS12.2

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS3.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2021–22

56 games

MIN14.3

PTS6.3

REB1.5

AST1.9

STL0.5

BLK0.1

3PM0.7

FG%39.1%

3P%36.3%

FT%85.9%

+/-+0.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2021–22

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED7.77pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G2 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.2 PTS · 1.6 REB · 1 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G2.3 PTS · 1 REB · 0.7 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.7 PTS · 1.3 REB · 1.2 AST

creation↓

efficiency↑

minutes→

rebounding↑

scoring→

MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 187 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS41.1%781/1902

2-POINT43.0%564/1312

3-POINT36.8%217/590

FREE THROW86.3%509/590

EFFECTIVE FG%46.8%

TRUE SHOOTING%52.9%

AST / TO2.09

PTS PER 3620.16rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

100 HOME · 87 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	100	21	12.54	2.24	3.8	1.21	0.65	0.08
Away	87	22.81	11.89	2.31	3.62	1.1	0.63	0.15
Home − Away	—	-1.8	+0.7	-0.1	+0.2	+0.1	+0.0	-0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

187 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	1	3	6	3.72	high
minutes	14.4	22	29	21.84	medium
points	5	11	19.8	12.24	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.27	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

187 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES42.1% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS42.1%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2021–22

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2022-04-05	@ TOR	10.6	10.01	+5.4%	2	1/4	1/3	0/1	0/0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	-15.0	25%
2022-04-02	vs BKN	12.7	8.54	+49.2%	8	1/5	0/3	1/2	5/6	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	+14.0	52%
2022-03-30	@ OKC	14.4	8.84	+63.2%	2	1/5	1/4	0/1	0/0	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	+4.0	20%
2022-03-28	@ IND	15	8.81	+70.1%	6	1/4	0/3	1/1	3/4	0	4	4	2	1	0	2	+8.0	52%
2022-03-25	vs GSW	9.6	9.23	+4.2%	5	2/4	1/3	1/1	0/0	1	2	3	0	0	1	0	-7.0	63%
2022-03-20	vs NOP	14.3	12.86	+11.2%	7	2/5	1/4	1/1	2/2	0	1	1	2	1	2	0	+14.0	60%
2022-03-18	vs MEM	14.4	12.56	+14.6%	5	2/7	2/7	0/0	1/2	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	+5.0	32%
2022-03-16	@ CHA	11	13.16	-16.4%	7	2/4	1/3	1/1	2/2	0	2	2	0	0	1	1	-13.0	72%
2022-03-14	vs POR	15.9	12.96	+22.9%	4	2/6	2/4	0/2	0/0	0	1	1	3	3	1	1	-3.0	33%
2022-03-13	vs IND	13.3	12.73	+4.6%	2	1/4	1/1	0/3	0/0	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	+3.0	25%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2021–22

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/56 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/56 games

5+ ASSISTS7.1%4/56 games

2+ THREES10.7%6/56 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2021–22	ATL	56	14.3	6.3	1.5	1.9	39.1%	36.3%	85.9%
2020–21	LAC ATL	66	21.6	11.3	2.1	3.4	41.0%	39.9%	86.7%
2019–20	LAC	65	28.7	18.2	3.1	5.6	41.8%	35.2%	86.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2021–22	ATL	64	36.9	#314 / 423	7.3M	Depth
2020–21	ATL	84	41.0	#248 / 410	11.2M	Rotation
2019–20	LAC	79	47.8	#116 / 385	19.2M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2021–22

#314 OF 423

AF-PLAYER36.9descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#314of 423 ranked

PH$7.3MDepth

SAMPLE64observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2021–22

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

EXPECTED MIN9.7

SCORING SHARE5.6%

CREATION SHARE7.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.2%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.