Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Lonzo Ball
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER33.52025–26
NBA RANK#345of 409
PH$6.2MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN20.8
PTS4.6
REB4.0
AST3.9
STL1.3
BLK0.3
3PM1.1
FG%30.1%
3P%27.2%
FT%66.7%
+/-+0.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.67pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2 PTS · 2.6 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G3.9 PTS · 2.9 REB · 3.2 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.9%870/2182
2-POINT45.4%334/735
3-POINT37.0%536/1447
FREE THROW69.4%150/216
EFFECTIVE FG%52.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%53.3%
AST / TO2.4
PTS PER 3613.51rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 115 | 29.6 | 11.16 | 5.01 | 5.22 | 2.44 | 1.43 | 0.57 |
| Away | 107 | 28.58 | 10.68 | 4.8 | 5.38 | 2.38 | 1.5 | 0.56 |
| Home − Away | — | +1.0 | +0.5 | +0.2 | -0.2 | +0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5.3 | high |
| minutes | 23 | 30.4 | 35.9 | 29.11 | low |
| points | 5 | 10 | 16 | 10.93 | high |
| rebounds | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4.91 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES209.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES52.3% of games
10+ ASSISTS219.5%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | @ POR | 16 | 13.59 | +17.7% | 3 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.0 | 75% |
| 2026-01-30 | @ PHX | 25 | 9.62 | +159.9% | 3 | 1/8 | 0/1 | 1/7 | 0/1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10.0 | 18% |
| 2026-01-28 | vs LAL | 12 | 8.41 | +42.8% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.0 | — |
| 2026-01-26 | vs ORL | 14 | 7.7 | +81.7% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-24 | @ ORL | 25 | 5.67 | +340.6% | 6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +5.0 | 75% |
| 2026-01-19 | vs OKC | 5 | 5.48 | -8.7% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.0 | 38% |
| 2026-01-16 | @ PHI | 12 | 4.25 | +182.4% | 0 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-14 | @ PHI | 14 | 3.4 | +311.4% | 9 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +5.0 | 75% |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 10 | 11.53 | -13.3% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -18.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-02 | vs DEN | 15 | 10.02 | +49.7% | 6 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +11.0 | 100% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/35 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/35 games
5+ ASSISTS42.9%15/35 games
2+ THREES34.3%12/35 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | CLE | 35 | 33.5 | #345 / 409 | 6.2M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | CHI | 35 | 40.1 | #269 / 422 | 8.2M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | CHI | 35 | 46.2 | #157 / 423 | 13.9M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | NOP | 54 | 48.5 | #128 / 410 | 17.2M | Core |
| 2019–20 | NOP | 65 | 42.7 | #188 / 385 | 14.2M | Rotation |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER33.5descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#345of 409 ranked
PH$6.2MDepth
SAMPLE35observed games
Ball security32
Box defence55
Creation73
Efficiency14
Rebounding36
Scoring16
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
EXPECTED MIN13.1
SCORING SHARE3.8%
CREATION SHARE14.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR61.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.