Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Killian Hayes
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER37.22025–26
NBA RANK#296of 409
PH$6.5MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN16.6
PTS5.2
REB2.3
AST3.3
STL0.9
BLK0.1
3PM0.6
FG%29.7%
3P%23.5%
FT%95.5%
+/--2.4
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL26minutes
EXPECTED17.87pregame reference
DEVIATION+45.5%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G8 PTS · 2.4 REB · 3.6 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4 PTS · 1.6 REB · 3.4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.6 PTS · 1.7 REB · 3.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G4 PTS · 1.6 REB · 3.4 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS37.8%722/1912
2-POINT43.1%536/1244
3-POINT27.8%186/668
FREE THROW79.3%226/285
EFFECTIVE FG%42.6%
TRUE SHOOTING%45.6%
AST / TO2.62
PTS PER 3611.22rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 123 | 25.63 | 7.42 | 2.87 | 5.22 | 0.72 | 1.07 | 0.41 |
| Away | 112 | 25.03 | 8.42 | 2.93 | 4.83 | 0.87 | 1.21 | 0.42 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.6 | -1.0 | -0.1 | +0.4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5.03 | high |
| minutes | 18.2 | 26 | 32 | 25.34 | medium |
| points | 2.8 | 7 | 12 | 7.9 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2.9 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES83.4% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS125.1%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ POR | 26 | 17.87 | +45.5% | 9 | 3/8 | 2/7 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs GSW | 19 | 17.8 | +6.8% | 6 | 0/3 | 0/1 | 0/2 | 6/6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.0 | 53% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ GSW | 32 | 15.41 | +107.7% | 18 | 6/13 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 61% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAC | 14 | 13.57 | +3.2% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -18.0 | 33% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NOP | 20 | 11.37 | +76% | 5 | 1/8 | 0/3 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.0 | 28% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ TOR | 14 | 10.99 | +27.4% | 5 | 1/5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | 40% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ BKN | 18 | 11.07 | +62.7% | 1 | 0/5 | 0/4 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.0 | 9% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ ATL | 17 | 11.27 | +50.8% | 10 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 2/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.0 | 63% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ ORL | 2 | 12.25 | -83.7% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | — |
| 2026-03-22 | vs BKN | 12 | 17.61 | -31.9% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 | 25% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/20 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/20 games
5+ ASSISTS15.0%3/20 games
2+ THREES10.0%2/20 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAC | 20 | 37.2 | #296 / 409 | 6.5M | Depth |
| 2023–24 | DET | 42 | 34.3 | #342 / 409 | 6.7M | Depth |
| 2022–23 | DET | 76 | 33.2 | #337 / 408 | 8.2M | Depth |
| 2021–22 | DET | 66 | 28.5 | #399 / 423 | 6.7M | Depth |
| 2020–21 | DET | 26 | 31.3 | #355 / 410 | 5.9M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER37.2descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#296of 409 ranked
PH$6.5MDepth
SAMPLE20observed games
Ball security43
Box defence47
Creation72
Efficiency21
Rebounding25
Scoring32
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAC
Sacramento Kings
EXPECTED MIN14.2
SCORING SHARE3.7%
CREATION SHARE12.1%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR80.7%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.