Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Josh Minott
Brooklyn Nets current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER51.42025–26
NBA RANK#92of 409
PH$14.7MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN42.0governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Charlotte Hornets2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN17.1
PTS7.5
REB3.5
AST1.0
STL0.8
BLK0.5
3PM1.4
FG%50.0%
3P%43.2%
FT%78.8%
+/-+0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Brooklyn Nets
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED20.57pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G5.8 PTS · 2.4 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G4 PTS · 1 REB · 0.3 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G6.2 PTS · 3.4 REB · 1.3 AST
creation→
efficiency↑
minutes→
rebounding↓
scoring→
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS49.3%186/377
2-POINT58.8%110/187
3-POINT40.0%76/190
FREE THROW83.9%78/93
EFFECTIVE FG%59.4%
TRUE SHOOTING%62.9%
AST / TO1.36
PTS PER 3615.99rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 60 | 8.75 | 3.82 | 1.68 | 0.6 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| Away | 73 | 9.03 | 4.07 | 1.84 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| Home − Away | — | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | +0.1 | +0.0 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.54 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 5 | 16 | 8.9 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3.95 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.77 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES21.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | vs CHA | 23 | 16.77 | +37.2% | 14 | 5/12 | 4/5 | 1/7 | 3/3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-27 | @ LAL | 26 | 18.55 | +40.1% | 18 | 6/12 | 2/3 | 4/9 | 2/4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6.0 | 65% |
| 2026-03-25 | @ GSW | 23 | 18.04 | +27.5% | 8 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.0 | 80% |
| 2026-03-23 | @ POR | 33 | 15.57 | +111.9% | 15 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -17.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-20 | vs NYK | 26 | 11.98 | +117.1% | 22 | 8/13 | 2/4 | 6/9 | 0/0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +8.0 | 85% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ PHI | 22 | 9.63 | +128.5% | 14 | 4/12 | 1/4 | 3/8 | 3/3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 | 53% |
| 2026-03-12 | @ ATL | 24 | 6.38 | +276% | 24 | 6/9 | 2/2 | 4/7 | 8/10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 | 90% |
| 2026-03-10 | vs DET | 21 | 2.32 | +804.3% | 9 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 1/5 | 2/2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -13.0 | 51% |
| 2026-03-05 | @ MIA | 2 | 4.35 | -54% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-02-26 | vs SAS | 5 | — | — | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS7.1%3/42 games
10+ REBOUNDS2.4%1/42 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/42 games
2+ THREES40.5%17/42 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER51.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#92of 409 ranked
PH$14.7MRotation
SAMPLE42observed games
Ball security48
Box defence57
Creation18
Efficiency79
Rebounding45
Scoring39
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-17.5 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+24.9 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
EXPECTED MIN11.9
SCORING SHARE7.9%
CREATION SHARE2.8%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR68.5%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.
BOS
Boston Celtics
EXPECTED MIN10.9
SCORING SHARE4.6%
CREATION SHARE4.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR64.2%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.