Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Jordan Clarkson
New York Knicks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER31.42025–26
NBA RANK#369of 409
PH$6.9MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN9.2governed role
NEXT GAMEvs Philadelphia 76ers2026-10-20WHAT IF IMPACT-0.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN17.9
PTS8.5
REB1.7
AST1.3
STL0.4
BLK0.1
3PM1.0
FG%44.1%
3P%32.5%
FT%81.8%
+/-+0.8
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · New York Knicks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL16minutes
EXPECTED16.94pregame reference
DEVIATION-5.5%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G4.6 PTS · 1.4 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G6.4 PTS · 2 REB · 1.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G5.3 PTS · 1.6 REB · 1.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G5.4 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.8 AST
creation↑
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding↑
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS43.0%2504/5822
2-POINT51.5%1562/3030
3-POINT33.7%942/2792
FREE THROW84.1%960/1142
EFFECTIVE FG%51.1%
TRUE SHOOTING%54.6%
AST / TO1.56
PTS PER 3621.84rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 217 | 26.73 | 16.49 | 3.36 | 3.12 | 2.29 | 0.67 | 0.14 |
| Away | 216 | 25.87 | 15.43 | 3.04 | 2.7 | 2.06 | 0.7 | 0.21 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.9 | +1.1 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.0 | -0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2.91 | high |
| minutes | 21.4 | 26.5 | 32 | 26.3 | low |
| points | 9 | 16 | 22 | 15.96 | medium |
| rebounds | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3.2 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES102.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES10.2% of games
10+ ASSISTS71.6%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | vs CHA | 16 | 16.94 | -5.5% | 2 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 | 20% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 18 | 17.07 | +5.4% | 10 | 4/8 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.0 | 56% |
| 2026-04-09 | vs BOS | 14 | 17.52 | -20.1% | 8 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 | 57% |
| 2026-04-06 | @ ATL | 9 | 19.35 | -53.5% | 3 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.0 | 62% |
| 2026-03-31 | @ HOU | 19 | 19.26 | -1.4% | 10 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ OKC | 21 | 18.7 | +12.3% | 2 | 1/6 | 1/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 | 17% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ CHA | 18 | 18.18 | -1% | 8 | 4/8 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.0 | 50% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs NOP | 21 | 15.25 | +37.7% | 10 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +11.0 | 73% |
| 2026-03-22 | vs WAS | 23 | 13.02 | +76.7% | 8 | 4/6 | 4/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3.0 | 67% |
| 2026-03-20 | @ BKN | 22 | 10.33 | +112.9% | 9 | 2/5 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 4/4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.0 | 67% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS4.5%3/67 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/67 games
5+ ASSISTS6.0%4/67 games
2+ THREES23.9%16/67 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
| Season | Team(s) | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 67 | 17.9 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 44.1% | 32.5% | 81.8% |
| 2024–25 | UTA | 36 | 26.3 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 40.8% | 36.6% | 79.9% |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 55 | 30.6 | 17.1 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 41.3% | 29.4% | 88.1% |
| 2022–23 | UTA | 61 | 32.6 | 20.8 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 44.4% | 33.8% | 81.6% |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 78 | 27.1 | 16.1 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 42.2% | 32.1% | 82.6% |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 68 | 26.7 | 18.4 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 42.5% | 34.7% | 89.6% |
| 2019–20 | UTACLE | 68 | 24.0 | 15.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 45.4% | 36.9% | 84.3% |
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | NYK | 86 | 31.4 | #369 / 409 | 6.9M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | UTA | 36 | 45.3 | #187 / 422 | 11.5M | Rotation |
| 2023–24 | UTA | 55 | 40.4 | #243 / 409 | 10.7M | Rotation |
| 2022–23 | UTA | 61 | 44.3 | #184 / 408 | 13.7M | Rotation |
| 2021–22 | UTA | 84 | 43.3 | #206 / 423 | 14.5M | Rotation |
| 2020–21 | UTA | 79 | 46.6 | #157 / 410 | 17M | Core |
| 2019–20 | UTA | 76 | 46.1 | #139 / 385 | 16.3M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER31.4descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#369of 409 ranked
PH$6.9MDepth
SAMPLE86observed games
Ball security60
Box defence16
Creation21
Efficiency30
Rebounding20
Scoring49
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-5.1 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT-46.0 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-7.3 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY22-0.8 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
NYK
New York Knicks
EXPECTED MIN14.8
SCORING SHARE6.7%
CREATION SHARE4.5%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR79.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.