Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
JD Davison
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN7.3
PTS2.2
REB0.9
AST1.0
STL0.1
BLK0.1
3PM0.3
FG%40.0%
3P%28.6%
FT%54.5%
+/-+0.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED0.35pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G0 PTS · 0.67 REB · 0 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G0.5 PTS · 0.1 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT3 G0 PTS · 0.67 REB · 0 AST
creation—
efficiency—
minutes—
rebounding—
scoring—
Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS38.9%42/108
2-POINT51.0%26/51
3-POINT28.1%16/57
FREE THROW62.5%15/24
EFFECTIVE FG%46.3%
TRUE SHOOTING%48.5%
AST / TO2.55
PTS PER 3611.13rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30 | 7.37 | 2.43 | 1.17 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.17 | 0.2 |
| Away | 28 | 5.39 | 1.5 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| Home − Away | — | +2.0 | +0.9 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +0.1 | -0.0 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.97 | high |
| minutes | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6.41 | high |
| points | 0 | 1.5 | 4 | 1.98 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.95 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | vs UTA | 7 | 0.4 | +1633% | 5 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 | 91% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs NYK | 2 | — | — | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | — |
| 2026-02-25 | vs SAC | 5 | 1.1 | +354% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 | 33% |
| 2026-02-07 | @ OKC | 18 | 2.92 | +515.5% | 8 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +16.0 | 80% |
| 2026-02-05 | vs CHA | 8 | 1.74 | +360.6% | 4 | 2/4 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +12.0 | 50% |
| 2026-02-04 | vs BOS | 7 | 0.73 | +864.4% | 2 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 | 33% |
| 2026-01-29 | @ ATL | 2 | 2.05 | -2.2% | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 | — |
| 2026-01-18 | vs NOP | 4 | — | — | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-16 | vs MIN | 4 | — | — | 0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| 2026-01-15 | vs OKC | 21 | — | — | 5 | 2/9 | 1/4 | 1/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 | 28% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/26 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/26 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/26 games
2+ THREES3.9%1/26 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
ProbHoops has observed 28 games of this player in 2025–26 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
HOU
Houston Rockets
EXPECTED MIN2.9
SCORING SHARE2.0%
CREATION SHARE4.4%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR41.9%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.