Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Jahlil Okafor
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER45.62020–21
NBA RANK#168of 410
PH$10MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2020–21
MIN12.9
PTS5.4
REB2.4
AST0.5
STL0.2
BLK0.2
3PM0.1
FG%61.8%
3P%22.2%
FT%70.8%
+/--3.1
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2020–21
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL24.28minutes
EXPECTED13.34pregame reference
DEVIATION+82%expanded minutes
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G6.4 PTS · 3.2 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.2 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G6.1 PTS · 2.7 REB · 0.2 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT7 G3.29 PTS · 1.86 REB · 0.29 AST
creation↓
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS62.1%164/264
2-POINT63.9%161/252
3-POINT—3/12
FREE THROW66.3%57/86
EFFECTIVE FG%62.7%
TRUE SHOOTING%64.3%
AST / TO0.85
PTS PER 3617.16rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26 | 14.41 | 6.88 | 2.92 | 0.54 | 0.04 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| Away | 31 | 14.18 | 6.74 | 3.77 | 1.16 | 0.06 | 0.1 | 0.55 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.2 | +0.1 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.0 | +0.3 | -0.2 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | high |
| minutes | 7.5 | 13.9 | 20.2 | 14.28 | high |
| points | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6.81 | high |
| rebounds | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3.39 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES23.5% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2020–21
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-16 | vs MIA | 24.3 | 13.34 | +82% | 7 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -8.0 | 64% |
| 2021-05-14 | vs DEN | 21.6 | 12.64 | +71.3% | 13 | 5/9 | 5/7 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2.0 | 60% |
| 2021-05-11 | vs MIN | 15.4 | 10.89 | +41.6% | 4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 | 60% |
| 2021-05-09 | vs CHI | 15.5 | 8.5 | +82.6% | 4 | 2/6 | 2/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7.0 | 33% |
| 2021-05-08 | @ PHI | 3.3 | 10.99 | -70.3% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +5.0 | 100% |
| 2021-05-06 | vs MEM | 17.1 | 8.54 | +100.9% | 13 | 6/9 | 6/8 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 | 66% |
| 2021-05-04 | vs CHA | 21.6 | 5.58 | +287.8% | 12 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 | 102% |
| 2021-04-29 | vs DAL | 18.8 | 7.47 | +150.8% | 4 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 | 69% |
| 2021-04-22 | @ SAS | 20 | 8.41 | +137.3% | 7 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -12.0 | 72% |
| 2021-04-19 | vs CLE | 16.5 | 6.97 | +136.9% | 4 | 2/3 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16.0 | 67% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2020–21
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/27 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/27 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/27 games
2+ THREES0.0%0/27 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020–21 | DET | 38 | 45.6 | #168 / 410 | 10M | Rotation |
| 2019–20 | NOP | 58 | 57.2 | #37 / 385 | 16.7M | Core |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2020–21
AF-PLAYER45.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#168of 410 ranked
PH$10MRotation
SAMPLE38observed games
Ball security32
Box defence23
Creation13
Efficiency78
Rebounding47
Scoring38
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2020–21
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
DET
Detroit Pistons
EXPECTED MIN6.5
SCORING SHARE4.5%
CREATION SHARE2.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR50.1%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.