Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Ersan Ilyasova
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYER46.62019–20
NBA RANK#130of 385
PH$13.6MRotation · fictional game currencySTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2020–21
MIN8.7
PTS3.8
REB1.7
AST0.2
STL0.6
BLK0.2
3PM1.1
FG%38.9%
3P%43.9%
FT%100.0%
+/-+0.9
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2020–21
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED3.35pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.8 PTS · 1.4 REB · 0.2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.4 PTS · 0.7 REB · 0.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT6 G2.83 PTS · 1.17 REB · 0.17 AST
creation→
efficiency↓
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS45.5%167/367
2-POINT52.4%99/189
3-POINT38.2%68/178
FREE THROW83.7%77/92
EFFECTIVE FG%54.8%
TRUE SHOOTING%58.8%
AST / TO1.26
PTS PER 3615.21rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42 | 14.32 | 6.69 | 4.5 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| Away | 38 | 14 | 5.21 | 3.71 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.24 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.3 | +1.5 | +0.8 | +0.4 | +0.3 | -0.2 | +0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.66 | high |
| minutes | 7.5 | 15.2 | 19.2 | 14.17 | medium |
| points | 2 | 5 | 11 | 5.99 | high |
| rebounds | 1.8 | 4 | 6 | 4.12 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES56.3% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2020–21
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-14 | @ OKC | 4.5 | 3.98 | +13.8% | 0 | 0/5 | 0/2 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 | 0% |
| 2021-05-07 | vs DEN | 6.4 | 8.1 | -20.8% | 5 | 1/3 | 0/2 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 64% |
| 2021-05-05 | vs SAS | 7.5 | 8.54 | -12.4% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2021-05-01 | vs TOR | 9.4 | 7.95 | +18% | 3 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 | 38% |
| 2021-04-30 | @ PHX | 7.4 | 6.84 | +8.2% | 6 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 | 150% |
| 2021-04-28 | @ SAC | 14.1 | 8.43 | +67.2% | 6 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +24.0 | 150% |
| 2021-04-26 | @ MIN | 11.2 | 7.57 | +47.5% | 8 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.0 | 80% |
| 2021-04-21 | @ HOU | 4.3 | 8.76 | -50.9% | 0 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 | 0% |
| 2021-04-17 | @ LAL | 31.6 | 4.07 | +675.9% | 20 | 7/11 | 1/3 | 6/8 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | +8.0 | 91% |
| 2021-04-16 | vs IND | 7.2 | 3.11 | +133% | 3 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5.0 | 50% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2020–21
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS5.9%1/17 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/17 games
5+ ASSISTS0.0%0/17 games
2+ THREES29.4%5/17 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2019–20
AF-PLAYER46.6descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#130of 385 ranked
PH$13.6MRotation
SAMPLE79observed games
Ball security73
Box defence36
Creation19
Efficiency55
Rebounding65
Scoring38
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2020–21
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
UTA
Utah Jazz
EXPECTED MIN4.0
SCORING SHARE3.0%
CREATION SHARE1.0%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR46.6%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.