Player-safe accepted corpus.
CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE
Devin Carter
Atlanta Hawks current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.
AF-PLAYER39.12025–26
NBA RANK#270of 409
PH$7.6MDepth · fictional game currencySTATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status
EXPECTED MIN29.4governed role
NEXT GAME@ Orlando Magic2026-10-21WHAT IF IMPACT-1.8 ppteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2025–26
MIN18.4
PTS8.5
REB3.2
AST2.6
STL0.9
BLK0.2
3PM0.8
FG%40.1%
3P%26.0%
FT%70.3%
+/--3.6
NEXT GAME
Current context
2026–27 · Atlanta Hawks
Assigned schedule
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
CURRENT FORM · 2026–27
Waiting for completed player boxscores
ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL34minutes
EXPECTED28.63pregame reference
DEVIATION+18.7%role consistent
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G14.6 PTS · 5.8 REB · 5 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G7 PTS · 3.6 REB · 4 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G14 PTS · 5 REB · 4.1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT8 G4.62 PTS · 2.62 REB · 3 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring→
STEADY historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS39.3%154/392
2-POINT47.8%109/228
3-POINT27.4%45/164
FREE THROW66.7%90/135
EFFECTIVE FG%45.0%
TRUE SHOOTING%49.1%
AST / TO1.96
PTS PER 3615.28rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33 | 15.06 | 6.88 | 2.85 | 1.94 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 0.24 |
| Away | 38 | 14.39 | 5.68 | 2.53 | 1.82 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.11 |
| Home − Away | — | +0.7 | +1.2 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1.87 | high |
| minutes | 6 | 11 | 23 | 14.7 | high |
| points | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6.24 | high |
| rebounds | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2.68 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2025–26
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | @ POR | 34 | 28.63 | +18.7% | 8 | 3/14 | 3/11 | 0/3 | 2/5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -10.0 | 25% |
| 2026-04-10 | vs GSW | 35 | 26.7 | +31.1% | 29 | 11/18 | 5/7 | 6/11 | 1/4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +16.0 | 73% |
| 2026-04-07 | @ GSW | 21 | 25.63 | -18.1% | 6 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7.0 | 51% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAC | 36 | 22.91 | +57.2% | 21 | 8/14 | 8/9 | 0/5 | 5/9 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -13.0 | 59% |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NOP | 32 | 21.84 | +46.6% | 9 | 3/10 | 1/4 | 2/6 | 1/3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.0 | 40% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ TOR | 23 | 21.27 | +8.2% | 13 | 4/12 | 3/8 | 1/4 | 4/4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +13.0 | 47% |
| 2026-03-29 | @ BKN | 29 | 16.79 | +72.7% | 20 | 6/12 | 3/7 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ ATL | 18 | 14.57 | +23.5% | 2 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 25% |
| 2026-03-26 | @ ORL | 25 | 11.57 | +116.1% | 14 | 5/12 | 2/5 | 3/7 | 1/2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5.0 | 54% |
| 2026-03-24 | @ CHA | 34 | 7.3 | +365.9% | 18 | 7/15 | 4/10 | 3/5 | 1/1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -36.0 | 58% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS8.3%3/36 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/36 games
5+ ASSISTS13.9%5/36 games
2+ THREES22.2%8/36 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
AF-PLAYER HISTORY
Season by season
| Season | Team | G | AF-Player | Rank | PH$ | Band |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | SAC | 36 | 39.1 | #270 / 409 | 7.6M | Depth |
| 2024–25 | SAC | 36 | 38.1 | #298 / 422 | 6.7M | Depth |
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.
Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2025–26
AF-PLAYER39.1descriptive index, not a win probability
NBA RANK#270of 409 ranked
PH$7.6MDepth
SAMPLE36observed games
Ball security51
Box defence46
Creation51
Efficiency21
Rebounding37
Scoring51
PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.
E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE
Distinct signals, side by side
Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.
VALUE OVER ROLE-31.2 ppAF-Player pct − Expected Minutes pct
AF MOVEMENT+4.6 pp2024–25 → 2025–26
ROLE CHANGEEXPANDING+11.0 min vs latest observed MPG
STAR DEPENDENCY67-1.8 pp next-game What If impact
Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
SAC
Sacramento Kings
EXPECTED MIN7.9
SCORING SHARE5.1%
CREATION SHARE7.2%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR48.3%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.