PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Derrick Walton Jr.

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Detroit Pistons · last observed teamUSAMichigan

AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate

NBA RANK—not ranked

PH$—pending · how PH$ works

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES29

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS2.5

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS0.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS1.7

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2021–22

3 games

MIN36.1

PTS6.3

REB3.3

AST7.0

STL2.3

BLK1.3

3PM1.0

FG%23.1%

3P%23.1%

FT%100.0%

+/--1.0

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2021–22

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED2.21pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT0 G— PTS · — REB · — AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 29 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS36.9%24/65

2-POINT39.3%11/28

3-POINT35.1%13/37

FREE THROW84.6%11/13

EFFECTIVE FG%46.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%50.9%

AST / TO3

PTS PER 367.27rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

12 HOME · 17 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	12	12.02	2.42	0.83	1.83	0.42	0.5	0.17
Away	17	12.48	2.53	0.94	1.53	0.47	0.47	0.12
Home − Away	—	-0.5	-0.1	-0.1	+0.3	-0.1	+0.0	+0.1

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

29 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	0	1	2.4	1.66	high
minutes	3.6	6.9	20.5	12.29	high
points	0	1	5	2.48	high
rebounds	0	0	1.4	0.9	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

29 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS00.0%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2021–22

One log, the window you choose

3 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2022-01-01	vs SAS	40.2	25.01	+60.8%	11	3/11	2/6	1/5	4/4	2	4	6	6	4	0	4	1	+7.0	43%
2021-12-29	vs NYK	36.8	22.48	+63.6%	8	3/10	1/4	2/6	0/0	0	0	0	9	2	2	5	4	+15.0	40%
2021-12-26	@ SAS	31.2	—	—	0	0/5	0/3	0/2	0/0	0	4	4	6	1	2	2	3	-25.0	0%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2021–22

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/3 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/3 games

5+ ASSISTS100.0%3/3 games

2+ THREES33.3%1/3 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2021–22	DET	3	36.1	6.3	3.3	7.0	23.1%	23.1%	100.0%
2019–20	DET LAC	26	9.6	2.0	0.6	1.0	46.2%	41.7%	77.8%

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2021–22

PENDING SAMPLE

ProbHoops has observed 3 games of this player in 2021–22 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2021–22

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

DET

Detroit Pistons

EXPECTED MIN13.5

SCORING SHARE5.6%

CREATION SHARE39.5%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR48.5%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.