PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL

Derrick Rose

Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.

Memphis Grizzlies · last observed teamUSAMemphis

AF-PLAYER43.32023–24

NBA RANK#196of 409

PH$9.5MDepth · fictional game currency

STATUSHistoricalno current binding

EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported

NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pending WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES177

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS12.9

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS2.3

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.0

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2023–24

24 games

MIN16.6

PTS8.0

REB1.9

AST3.3

STL0.3

BLK0.1

3PM0.6

FG%46.1%

3P%36.6%

FT%88.9%

+/--1.4

NEXT GAME

Current context

No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED0.31pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G4.75 PTS · 1.5 REB · 2.75 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G0 PTS · 0 REB · 0 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT4 G4.75 PTS · 1.5 REB · 2.75 AST

creation—

efficiency—

minutes—

rebounding—

scoring—

Form label withheld: insufficient role-consistent sample. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 177 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS46.6%915/1962

2-POINT50.3%749/1490

3-POINT35.2%166/472

FREE THROW88.1%296/336

EFFECTIVE FG%50.9%

TRUE SHOOTING%54.3%

AST / TO2.41

PTS PER 3620.88rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

90 HOME · 87 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	90	22.58	12.61	2.38	4.21	0.9	0.66	0.32
Away	87	22.07	13.3	2.3	3.85	0.98	0.77	0.29
Home − Away	—	+0.5	-0.7	+0.1	+0.4	-0.1	-0.1	+0.0

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

177 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	2	4	6	4.03	high
minutes	16	23.5	28.5	22.33	medium
points	6	13	20	12.95	high
rebounds	1	2	4	2.34	high

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

177 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES52.8% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games

10+ ASSISTS52.8%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2023–24

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	DR	REB	AST	STL	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2024-02-28	@ MIN	6	8.98	-33.2%	2	1/2	1/2	0/0	0/0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-5.0	50%
2024-02-26	vs BKN	15	8.41	+78.4%	6	3/4	3/3	0/1	0/0	2	2	4	0	2	0	-6.0	75%
2024-02-23	vs LAC	14	5.75	+143.7%	4	2/5	2/5	0/0	0/0	1	1	2	0	3	1	+8.0	40%
2024-02-14	vs HOU	16	5	+219.9%	8	3/6	3/5	0/1	2/3	4	4	3	0	0	1	+10.0	55%
2024-02-10	@ CHA	16	4.84	+230.5%	10	4/7	2/5	2/2	0/0	4	4	5	0	0	0	-8.0	71%
2024-02-06	@ NYK	12	2.97	+304.1%	7	2/4	1/3	1/1	2/2	3	3	2	1	3	0	-1.0	72%
2024-02-02	vs GSW	16	—	—	12	5/9	4/6	1/3	1/1	1	1	4	0	0	1	-7.0	64%
2024-01-02	vs SAS	9	—	—	4	2/4	2/3	0/1	0/0	0	0	2	0	0	0	+1.0	50%
2023-12-31	vs SAC	12	—	—	2	1/3	1/3	0/0	0/0	0	0	3	0	1	0	-16.0	33%
2023-12-15	vs HOU	9	—	—	3	1/3	0/1	1/2	0/0	1	1	2	0	0	0	+11.0	50%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS0.0%0/24 games

10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/24 games

5+ ASSISTS20.8%5/24 games

2+ THREES12.5%3/24 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2023–24	MEM	24	16.6	8.0	1.9	3.3	46.1%	36.6%	88.9%
2022–23	NYK	27	12.6	5.6	1.5	1.7	38.4%	30.2%	91.7%
2021–22	NYK	26	24.4	12.0	3.0	4.0	44.5%	40.2%	96.8%
2020–21	NYK DET	50	25.6	14.7	2.6	4.2	47.0%	38.8%	86.6%
2019–20	DET	50	25.9	18.1	2.4	5.6	49.0%	30.6%	87.1%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2023–24	MEM	24	43.3	#196 / 409	9.5M	Depth
2022–23	NYK	28	34.6	#319 / 408	6M	Depth
2021–22	NYK	26	47.3	#137 / 423	12.9M	Rotation
2020–21	NYK	57	49.6	#118 / 410	16.6M	Core
2019–20	DET	50	53.8	#59 / 385	19.2M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

No current roster binding for this historical profile

governed identity

This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2023–24

#196 OF 409

AF-PLAYER43.3descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#196of 409 ranked

PH$9.5MDepth

SAMPLE24observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

EXPECTED MIN7.1

SCORING SHARE7.8%

CREATION SHARE13.9%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR45.1%

With/without sample did not qualify for publication.