CURRENT NBA ROSTER · PLAYER INTELLIGENCE

Brandon Ingram

Toronto Raptors current context with accepted historical evidence kept separate.

Toronto Raptors · current teamFUSADuke

AF-PLAYER45.62025–26

NBA RANK#170of 409

PH$16.9MCore · fictional game currency

STATUSUNSPECIFIEDsource status

EXPECTED MIN0.0governed role

NEXT GAMEvs Chicago Bulls2026-10-21 WHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual

REGULAR-SEASON GAMES377

Player-safe accepted corpus.

CAREER PPG · CORPUS22.7

2019–20 through 2025–26 window.

CAREER RPG · CORPUS5.5

Historical window, not full NBA career.

CAREER APG · CORPUS4.9

Historical window, not full NBA career.

LATEST COMPLETED SEASON

2025–26

74 games

MIN34.0

PTS21.6

REB5.5

AST3.7

STL0.8

BLK0.7

3PM1.8

FG%47.5%

3P%38.0%

FT%81.5%

+/--0.3

NEXT GAME

Current context

2026–27 · Toronto Raptors

Assigned schedule

NBA Official roster

2026-10-21 · HOMEvs Chicago Bulls66.2% winProjected 112–116

2026-10-23 · AWAY@ Washington Wizards53.7% winProjected 115–114

2026-10-25 · AWAY@ Minnesota Timberwolves40.9% winProjected 112–114

2026-10-28 · HOMEvs Orlando Magic60.2% winProjected 111–114

2026-10-30 · HOMEvs Orlando Magic60.2% winProjected 111–114

E66 · PLAYER PROJECTION

Loading next-game projection…

PTS / REB / AST / 3PM use a separately validated player-stat model. Game Win, projected team score, Form and milestones keep their own authorities.

Current team Open Player What If

MINUTES + FORM

Role-adjusted performance

CURRENT FORM · 2026–27

Waiting for completed player boxscores

PRESEASON / NO SAMPLE

ProbHoops will activate Last 5 / Last 10 form only after observed 2026–27 player boxscores exist. No current form label is borrowed from 2025–26.

LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2025–26

Historical Minutes Intelligence

DESCRIPTIVE · NOT CURRENT

Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.

LATEST ACTUAL0minutes

EXPECTED26.74pregame reference

DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown

LAST 5

ALL OBSERVED5 G18.4 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G15.6 PTS · 4.4 REB · 1.8 AST

LAST 10

ALL OBSERVED10 G12.7 PTS · 2.7 REB · 2.2 AST

ROLE-CONSISTENT10 G19.7 PTS · 4.5 REB · 2.4 AST

creation↓

efficiency↓

minutes→

rebounding↓

scoring↓

COLD historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.

SPLITS + EFFICIENCY

How the production is built

EFFICIENCY

Shooting, derived from the box score

CAREER · 377 GAMES

2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.

FIELD GOALS47.2%3105/6581

2-POINT51.0%2420/4747

3-POINT37.4%685/1834

FREE THROW84.2%1666/1978

EFFECTIVE FG%52.4%

TRUE SHOOTING%57.5%

AST / TO1.75

PTS PER 3624.15rate, not projection

HOME / AWAY

Where the games were played

188 HOME · 189 AWAY

Split	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Home	188	34	23.06	5.62	4.86	1.95	0.81	0.67
Away	189	33.69	22.36	5.33	4.93	1.68	0.74	0.49
Home − Away	—	+0.3	+0.7	+0.3	-0.1	+0.3	+0.1	+0.2

Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.

CONSISTENCY

What the average hides

377 GAMES

Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.

Category	Floor	Median	Ceiling	Mean	Volatility
assists	3	5	7	4.89	medium
minutes	31	35	37	33.84	low
points	16	23	29	22.71	medium
rebounds	3	5	7	5.47	medium

Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.

DOUBLE-DOUBLES

Observed frequency across the corpus

377 GAMES

DOUBLE-DOUBLES318.2% of games

TRIPLE-DOUBLES30.8% of games

10+ ASSISTS133.5%

10+ BLOCKS00.0%

Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.

GAME LOG · 2025–26

One log, the window you choose

10 games

Date	Opp	MIN	EXP MIN	MIN Δ	PTS	FG	2P	3P	FT	OR	DR	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	+/-	TS%
2026-04-10	@ NYK	35	26.24	+33.4%	16	8/15	8/13	0/2	0/4	0	4	4	6	1	0	1	2	-9.0	48%
2026-04-09	vs MIA	37	21.3	+73.7%	38	13/23	11/20	2/3	10/11	2	5	7	7	1	0	1	0	+13.0	68%
2026-04-07	vs MIA	29	22.02	+31.7%	23	9/16	6/11	3/5	2/2	0	6	6	3	2	0	3	3	+11.0	68%
2026-04-05	@ BOS	34	22.42	+51.6%	15	6/13	6/12	0/1	3/3	1	2	3	4	0	1	2	1	-13.0	52%
2026-03-31	@ DET	31	27.54	+12.6%	22	7/15	6/9	1/6	7/8	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	2	-26.0	59%
2026-03-27	vs NOP	31	32.45	-4.5%	13	5/13	4/10	1/3	2/3	0	6	6	2	1	1	1	1	+10.0	45%
2026-03-25	@ LAC	36	33.96	+6%	18	8/18	6/15	2/3	0/0	1	5	6	4	1	1	3	1	-15.0	50%
2026-03-22	@ PHX	27	35.58	-24.1%	6	3/10	3/8	0/2	0/0	1	3	4	1	0	3	5	2	-29.0	30%
2026-03-20	@ DEN	36	35.61	+1.1%	19	7/12	6/9	1/3	4/6	1	4	5	2	0	0	3	4	+2.0	65%
2026-03-18	@ CHI	29	36.09	-19.7%	18	6/7	5/6	1/1	5/5	0	5	5	4	0	0	4	2	+37.0	98%

All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.

HISTORY

Season and milestone evidence

DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2025–26

How often did the threshold occur?

historical frequency

These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.

20+ POINTS59.5%44/74 games

10+ REBOUNDS2.7%2/74 games

5+ ASSISTS29.7%22/74 games

2+ THREES48.6%36/74 games

SEASON HISTORY

Regular-season production

accepted player-safe games

Season	Team(s)	G	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%	FT%
2025–26	TOR	74	34.0	21.6	5.5	3.7	47.5%	38.0%	81.5%
2024–25	NOP	18	33.0	22.2	5.6	5.2	46.6%	37.4%	85.5%
2023–24	NOP	63	32.8	20.7	5.0	5.7	49.1%	35.9%	80.3%
2022–23	NOP	45	34.2	24.7	5.5	5.8	48.4%	39.0%	88.2%
2021–22	NOP	55	34.0	22.6	5.8	5.6	46.1%	32.7%	82.6%
2020–21	NOP	60	34.5	23.7	4.9	4.9	46.2%	37.9%	88.0%
2019–20	NOP	62	33.9	23.8	6.1	4.2	46.3%	39.1%	85.0%

AF-PLAYER HISTORY

Season by season

Season	Team	G	AF-Player	Rank	PH$	Band
2025–26	TOR	79	45.6	#170 / 409	16.9M	Core
2023–24	NOP	69	51.4	#98 / 409	20.1M	Core
2022–23	NOP	46	53.0	#72 / 408	19M	Core
2021–22	NOP	64	53.4	#69 / 423	22.4M	Core
2020–21	NOP	60	53.7	#73 / 410	22.1M	Core
2019–20	NOP	62	54.0	#57 / 385	23.1M	Core

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency and carries no monetary value: it is not a salary, market value or contract figure, and it is not redeemable or convertible. How PH$ works.

CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY

Current context is active. Historical evidence stays historical.

governed identity

Current roster, literal availability, expected minutes and future-game context come from the governed current product. Historical production and with/without evidence are not rewritten as current-season claims.

Open team profile

IMPACT

Rating and role context

AF-PLAYER

Measured production, 2025–26

#170 OF 409

AF-PLAYER45.6descriptive index, not a win probability

NBA RANK#170of 409 ranked

PH$16.9MCore

SAMPLE79observed games

Ball security

Box defence

Creation

Efficiency

Rebounding

Scoring

PH$ is a free ProbHoops game currency. It is derived only from measured on-court production and position in that season's distribution. It is not salary, market value, contract value, trade price or betting value. How PH$ works.

E67 · ROLE & ROSTER INTELLIGENCE

Distinct signals, side by side

descriptive · current role + historical rating

Value Over Role, AF-Player Movement, Role Change and Star Dependency are separate diagnostics. They do not alter AF-Player, Form, Availability, Game Win or the governed What If scenario.

VALUE OVER ROLE—requires eligible AF-Player + governed role

AF MOVEMENT—two eligible completed seasons required

ROLE CHANGECONTRACTING-33.8 min vs latest observed MPG

STAR DEPENDENCY—governed What If sample unavailable

Player movement Opportunities Compare players

Boundary: Star Dependency is model dependency, not causal truth. Opportunity labels are mechanical screeners, not predictions or personnel recommendations. PH$ remains fictional game currency.

PLAYER IMPACT · 2025–26

Pregame role and with/without context

descriptive · not causal

Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.

TOR

Toronto Raptors

EXPECTED MIN31.7

SCORING SHARE18.8%

CREATION SHARE12.6%

PARTICIPATION PRIOR83.7%

-1.70 residual margin pts in the qualified normal-load vs nonparticipation diagnostic · 57 normal-load / 6 nonparticipation games.