Player-safe accepted corpus.
PLAYER PROFILE · HISTORICAL
Ashton Hagans
Accepted historical regular-season production. No current 2026–27 roster status is inferred.
AF-PLAYERPendingsample gate
NBA RANK—not ranked
PH$—pending · how PH$ worksSTATUSHistoricalno current binding
EXPECTED MINWithheldonly when supported
NEXT GAMENo assigned gameSchedule pendingWHAT IF IMPACTWithheldteam win probability if OUT · model counterfactual2019–20 through 2025–26 window.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
Historical window, not full NBA career.
LATEST COMPLETED SEASON
2023–24
MIN16.6
PTS4.2
REB2.4
AST2.8
STL0.6
BLK0.5
3PM0.4
FG%40.8%
3P%32.0%
FT%82.3%
+/--0.2
NEXT GAME
Current context
No current roster binding is published for this historical profile. ProbHoops does not infer a current team, availability or expected minutes from historical data.
MINUTES + FORM
Role-adjusted performance
Current form is unavailable because this historical profile is not bound to the governed 2026–27 roster. No current role is inferred.
LATEST OBSERVED REFERENCE · 2023–24
Historical Minutes Intelligence
Expected minutes were frozen before each historical game. Role-Consistent means actual minutes stayed between 75% and 125% of that pregame reference. Low minutes are diagnostic only: ProbHoops does not infer rest, injury or a coaching decision from the box score.
LATEST ACTUAL0minutes
EXPECTED5.08pregame reference
DEVIATION-100%zero minutes reason unknown
LAST 5
ALL OBSERVED5 G1 PTS · 0.4 REB · 0.8 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT5 G2.4 PTS · 2.2 REB · 2 AST
LAST 10
ALL OBSERVED10 G1.7 PTS · 0.7 REB · 1 AST
ROLE-CONSISTENT7 G2.86 PTS · 2.29 REB · 2.14 AST
creation→
efficiency→
minutes→
rebounding→
scoring↓
MIXED historical run. This is a descriptive historical reference, not a next-game projection, AF-Player input, availability claim or causal diagnosis.
SPLITS + EFFICIENCY
How the production is built
EFFICIENCY
Shooting, derived from the box score
2PM and 2PA need no source: a two-pointer is a field goal that was not a three. eFG% credits the extra point a three is worth; TS% is the only one of these that accounts for free throws. A rate below its attempt floor is shown as — rather than as a flattering number.
FIELD GOALS40.8%29/71
2-POINT45.6%21/46
3-POINT32.0%8/25
FREE THROW82.3%14/17
EFFECTIVE FG%46.5%
TRUE SHOOTING%51.0%
AST / TO1.74
PTS PER 369rate, not projection
HOME / AWAY
Where the games were played
| Split | G | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 14.42 | 3.42 | 2.17 | 2.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| Away | 9 | 16.34 | 4.33 | 2.11 | 2.89 | 0.44 | 0.78 | 0.44 |
| Home − Away | — | -1.9 | -0.9 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.5 | -0.0 |
Home minus away, computed only when both sides reach the sample floor. A difference is a measurement, not a home-court effect.
CONSISTENCY
What the average hides
Two players averaging the same points can be 20-21-24 and 5-38-12. Floor, median and ceiling are the 20th / 50th / 80th percentile, linearly interpolated.
| Category | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Mean | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| assists | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2.57 | high |
| minutes | 5 | 14 | 23 | 15.24 | high |
| points | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3.81 | high |
| rebounds | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2.14 | high |
Percentiles, not minimum and maximum: one exceptional night is not a ceiling.
DOUBLE-DOUBLES
Observed frequency across the corpus
DOUBLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
TRIPLE-DOUBLES00.0% of games
10+ ASSISTS00.0%
10+ BLOCKS00.0%
Observed frequency across the measured corpus, not a forecast. Category probabilities are not multiplied together: production categories are dependent through minutes and role.
GAME LOG · 2023–24
One log, the window you choose
| Date | Opp | MIN | EXP MIN | MIN Δ | PTS | FG | 2P | 3P | FT | OR | DR | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-11 | vs GSW | 14 | 6.66 | +110.2% | 5 | 2/4 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 | 63% |
| 2024-04-03 | @ CHA | 13 | 13.2 | -1.5% | 0 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.0 | 0% |
| 2024-04-01 | @ ORL | 13 | 11.22 | +15.9% | 2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.0 | 114% |
| 2024-03-27 | @ ATL | 16 | 8.73 | +83.3% | 10 | 3/5 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 2/2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.0 | 85% |
| 2024-03-25 | @ HOU | 24 | 5.47 | +338.5% | 8 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.0 | 50% |
| 2024-03-23 | vs DEN | 21 | 4.94 | +325.5% | 2 | 0/3 | 0/2 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1.0 | 26% |
| 2024-03-14 | vs NYK | 22 | 8.84 | +148.8% | 8 | 3/5 | 1/2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 | 80% |
| 2024-03-08 | vs HOU | 18 | 17.9 | +0.6% | 6 | 2/6 | 1/4 | 1/2 | 1/2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -11.0 | 44% |
| 2024-03-06 | vs OKC | 14 | 17.88 | -21.7% | 2 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.0 | 50% |
| 2024-03-04 | @ MIN | 20 | 15.45 | +29.5% | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1.0 | 0% |
All E57 box-score columns remain available. E65 adds the frozen expected-minutes reference and deviation without removing any observed box-score field. The table scrolls inside its own region on narrow screens; highlighted rows are double-doubles and the strongest highlight is a triple-double.
HISTORY
Season and milestone evidence
DESCRIPTIVE MILESTONES · 2023–24
How often did the threshold occur?
These are observed historical frequencies, not current model probabilities and not betting lines.
20+ POINTS0.0%0/19 games
10+ REBOUNDS0.0%0/19 games
5+ ASSISTS15.8%3/19 games
2+ THREES15.8%3/19 games
SEASON HISTORY
Regular-season production
CURRENT / HISTORICAL BOUNDARY
No current roster binding for this historical profile
This historical profile is not currently bound to the NBA Official 2026–27 roster product. ProbHoops does not infer a current team from historical data.
Open team profileIMPACT
Rating and role context
AF-PLAYER
Measured production, 2023–24
ProbHoops has observed 19 games of this player in 2023–24 — below the sample floor required to rank. He carries no AF-Player and no PH$. Pending means not enough observation, never a low score.
PLAYER IMPACT · 2023–24
Pregame role and with/without context
Role measures are based on information frozen before games. With/without appears only when the historical sample passes the research gate; it does not prove that an absence caused the observed team change.
POR
Portland Trail Blazers
EXPECTED MIN11.3
SCORING SHARE4.0%
CREATION SHARE11.9%
PARTICIPATION PRIOR63.1%
With/without sample did not qualify for publication.